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26 Eki 2026 04:28 UTC itibarıyla veriler · politika pm-quality-4
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7 saat önce güncellendi
Guncelligini yitirmis15 Haz 25 01:06 UTC31 Ara 29 23:59 UTC
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İlgili Piyasalar
Bağlam için ilgili sorular; eşdeğer sözleşmelerin karşılaştırması değildir.
Will the US lift all sanctions on Iran before 2029?
Manifold MarketsIran blockade lifted before Iran-Oman Hormuz agreement?
PolymarketWill the Graham Act sanctions take effect in 2026?
KalshiUS imposes new sanctions on China by October 31?
PolymarketWill Iran get substantial sanctions relief AND tolls on ships in exchange for reopening Hormuz before April 5, 2027?
Manifold MarketsWill any non-USA country ease Russian oil sanctions or price caps?
Manifold MarketsKurallar
The first half of question refers to https://manifold.markets/BaryLevy/will-the-government-of-the-islamic-9R2hcIEElO?r=QW5U.
- the essence of the resolution criteria is whether the people in control of Tehran or most of Iran are still Ayatollahs or hold a similar Shiite-muslim religious title.
- The second half of question refers to https://manifold.markets/IsaacKing/will-the-us-lift-all-sanctions-on-i?r=QW5U but extended by a year.
- That market doesn't have resolution criteria specified yet so I'll match its reasoning plus use my best judgement.
- This is a conjunction market; it resolves YES iff both parts are satisfied (though not necessarily in a causally linked manner).