Will Iran get substantial sanctions relief AND tolls on ships in exchange for reopening Hormuz?
Middle EastJeopolitikOne-Off6ayManifold MarketsKYC yokDoğrulanmış sonuçlanma verisiOrta düzey kalibreGüncel topluluk tahminiHayır 75%
Tahminciler
47
Soru türü
binary
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Play-money forecasting platform
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Tahmin
Piyasa verileri
14 saat önce güncellendi
Guncelligini yitirmis5 Nis 26 22:29 UTC5 Nis 27 22:27 UTC
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PolymarketKurallar
Resolution criteria
- This market resolves to YES if, 1 month after the Strait of Hormuz is opened to typical amounts of traffic (>50% of traffic prior to the closure), there is a public agreement between Iran and the relevant international parties (e.g., the U.S. or a UN-backed coalition) that explicitly includes both of the following conditions:
- Substantial sanctions relief: A verifiable, significant easing of economic sanctions currently imposed on Iran by major international powers (not merely minor exemptions or renewals).
- Tolls on ships: The formal establishment of a mechanism allowing Iran to legally levy tolls or fees on commercial vessels transiting the Strait of Hormuz.
- The market resolves to NO if no such agreement is reached by the date specified, or if an agreement is reached that does not include both provisions.
- Official government press releases, international news agencies (e.g., Reuters, AP, Bloomberg), and verified transcripts of diplomatic agreements will be used to determine the outcome.
Sık sorulan sorular
- Will Iran get substantial sanctions relief AND tolls on ships in exchange for reopening Hormuz? için güncel oranlar nedir?
- Manifold Markets, 8 Eylül 2026 itibarıyla No için 75% fiyatlıyor.
- Will Iran get substantial sanctions relief AND tolls on ships in exchange for reopening Hormuz? ne zaman sonuçlanacak?
- Will Iran get substantial sanctions relief AND tolls on ships in exchange for reopening Hormuz? için öngörülen sonuçlanma tarihi 5 Nisan 2027.
- Will Iran get substantial sanctions relief AND tolls on ships in exchange for reopening Hormuz? nasıl sonuçlandırılıyor?
- Manifold Markets bu piyasayı şu şekilde sonuçlandırır: Resolution criteria