Iran blockade lifted before Iran-Oman Hormuz agreement?
PolitikaOne-OffUS PoliticsJeopolitikMiddle East3ay
PolymarketKullanılabilirliği kontrol etKYC yok%2 ücretDoğrulanmış sonuçlanma verisiİyi kalibreGüncel ima edilen olasılık
Hayır 79%
Piyasa kalitesi
71 / 100
Orta kalite24s Hacim
₺83,1 B
Likidite
₺644,5 B
Orta likiditeAlış / Satış
20.0% / 22.0%
Spread
2.0 pt
Dar spreadYorumlar
0
Piyasa verileri
9 dakika önce güncellendi
3 Eyl 26 13:21 UTC31 Ara 26 23:59 UTC
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Bağlam için ilgili sorular; eşdeğer sözleşmelerin karşılaştırması değildir.
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PolymarketIran-Oman Hormuz Management Agreement by which date?
PolymarketWill Iran and Oman announce a permanent Hormuz shipping scheme by October 31?
Manifold MarketsWill the temporary Iran–Oman Hormuz shipping route begin operating by September 15?
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Manifold MarketsUS announces end of Iranian blockade by which date?
PolymarketKurallar
On July 13, 2026, Trump announced the United States would reinstate its naval blockade of Iran, targeting Iranian ships and customers.
- This market will resolve to “Yes” if the United States government, or an authorized representative of the United States government, publicly and officially announces the end, termination, lifting, or suspension of the United States’ naval blockade on Iranian ships and ships of Iranian customers before a diplomatic agreement between Oman and Iran over traffic in the strait of Hormuz is announced.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
- If neither a qualifying announcement of the end of the blockade nor a qualifying diplomatic agreement between Oman and Iran occurs by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
- An announcement of the end of the blockade qualifies if it communicates that the United States will generally cease blocking vessel traffic for Iranian ships and customers, including an announcement that the blockade will not take effect at all, even if some restrictions remain (for example, an imposition of fees).
- An announcement does not qualify if it reflects only a limited or partial change that stops short of a general end or suspension of the blockade, for example, an exemption for a specific vessel, cargo, or port.
