Will Iran run out of ballistic missiles before the coalition runs out of interceptors?
JeopolitikOne-OffMiddle East6ayManifold MarketsKYC yokDoğrulanmış sonuçlanma verisiOrta düzey kalibreGüncel topluluk tahminiEvet 65.9%
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12
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binary
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9 saat önce güncellendi
Guncelligini yitirmis16 Mar 26 21:29 UTC16 Mar 27 21:28 UTC
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Manifold MarketsKurallar
Resolution criteria
- This market resolves YES if Iran exhausts its ballistic missile inventory before the coalition (US, Israel, and Gulf state allies) exhausts its air defense interceptor stockpile.
- This market resolves NO if the coalition exhausts its interceptor stockpile first.
- Resolution will be determined by daily launch count, interception rates, and official statements from the US Department of Defense, Israeli Ministry of Defense, or credible military intelligence assessments published by recognized defense analysis organizations (CSIS, Institute for the Study of War, etc.).
- The resolution date is March 16, 2027 (one year from market creation), but may be postponed or be brought forward, depending on how the war goes.
- Missile count: weekly average of 3 per day or lower, so long as iran is incapable of consistently hitting targets everyday, and there's no upward tend.
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Sık sorulan sorular
- Will Iran run out of ballistic missiles before the coalition runs out of interceptors? için güncel oranlar nedir?
- Manifold Markets, 8 Eylül 2026 itibarıyla Yes için 66% fiyatlıyor.
- Will Iran run out of ballistic missiles before the coalition runs out of interceptors? ne zaman sonuçlanacak?
- Will Iran run out of ballistic missiles before the coalition runs out of interceptors? için öngörülen sonuçlanma tarihi 16 Mart 2027.
- Will Iran run out of ballistic missiles before the coalition runs out of interceptors? nasıl sonuçlandırılıyor?
- Manifold Markets bu piyasayı şu şekilde sonuçlandırır: Resolution criteria