Güncel topluluk tahmini
Hayır 65.2%
Tahminciler
31
Soru türü
binary
Yöntem
Play-money forecasting platform
Kaynak türü
Tahmin
Piyasa verileri
4 saat önce güncellendi
Guncelligini yitirmis18 Ağu 23 23:57 UTC1 Oca 00 04:59 UTC
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İlgili Piyasalar
Bağlam için ilgili sorular; eşdeğer sözleşmelerin karşılaştırması değildir.
👽 Will scientists announce a credible potential signal from extraterrestrial intelligence before 2027?
Manifold MarketsWill the first sign of extraterrestrial intelligence be identified as an artificial intelligence by 2030?
Manifold MarketsWill evidence of an extraterrestrial civilization be discovered by the year 2050?
Manifold MarketsEvidence of life out of Earth by the end of 2026?
FutuurWhere will 2026 rank among the hottest years on record?
PolymarketWill 2026 be the hottest year ever?
KalshiKurallar
Applies only to the detection of technosignatures that would be emitted by an extraterrestrial civilization anywhere within the Local Group, however defined.
Açık piyasalar
SpacePOLYMARKETWhich company has the best AI model end of September?
- Anthropic+1.0pt88.1%
- OpenAI-0.9pt9.9%
- Google+0.1pt2%
+18 daha fazla sonuç
- Toplam Hacim
- ₺126,3 Mn
- 24s Hacim
- ₺4,1 Mn
KALSHIWhen will Tesla and SpaceX merge?
- Before 2028+2.0pt67%
- Before May 1, 2027-1.0pt49%
- Before Apr 1, 2027-7.0pt43%
+8 daha fazla sonuç
POLYMARKETSpaceX Starship Flight Test 14
- October 3197%
- September 30-3.5pt85%
- Successful splash down?+1.0pt84%
+8 daha fazla sonuç
LIMITLESSSpaceX (SPCX) Up or Down - Daily
- Yes97%
- No3%
- Toplam Hacim
- ₺8,6 Mn
- 24s Hacim
- ₺1,1 Mn
POLYMARKETLargest IPO by market cap in 2026?
- Anthropic+0.4pt59.4%
- SpaceX-4.5pt38.5%
- OpenAI+0.3pt2.1%
+9 daha fazla sonuç
KALSHIHow many launches will SpaceX have in September?
- Above 8-4.0pt86%
- Above 9-23.0pt48%
- Above 10-13.0pt18%
+8 daha fazla sonuç
- Toplam Hacim
- Will the Doge-1 Lunar Mission launch by which date?
- Third-best AI Lab end of September?
- Which company has the best AI model end of October?
- Which company has the best AI Agent end of September?
- Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by which date?
- Third-best AI Lab end of October?
- AI data center in space by which date?
- Which company has #1 AI model end of September? (Style Control On)
- Third-best Text Arena Math AI Lab end of October?
Sık sorulan sorular
- Will humanity detect evidence of an extraterrestrial intelligence before the year 2100? için güncel oranlar nedir?
- Manifold Markets, 8 Eylül 2026 itibarıyla No için 65% fiyatlıyor.
- Will humanity detect evidence of an extraterrestrial intelligence before the year 2100? ne zaman sonuçlanacak?
- Will humanity detect evidence of an extraterrestrial intelligence before the year 2100? için öngörülen sonuçlanma tarihi 1 Ocak 2100.
- Will humanity detect evidence of an extraterrestrial intelligence before the year 2100? nasıl sonuçlandırılıyor?
- Manifold Markets bu piyasayı şu şekilde sonuçlandırır: Applies only to the detection of technosignatures that would be emitted by an extraterrestrial civilization anywhere within the Local Group, however defined.