Manifold MarketsKYC yokDoğrulanmış sonuçlanma verisiOrta düzey kalibreGüncel topluluk tahmini
Hayır 60.1%
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19
Soru türü
binary
Yöntem
Play-money forecasting platform
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Tahmin
Piyasa verileri
2 saat önce güncellendi
Guncelligini yitirmis30 Ara 23 15:43 UTC1 Mar 70 22:59 UTC
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İlgili Piyasalar
Bağlam için ilgili sorular; eşdeğer sözleşmelerin karşılaştırması değildir.
Will Earth have a Space Elevator before 2055?
Manifold MarketsWill Earth have a Space Elevator before 2065?
Manifold MarketsWill Earth have a Space Elevator before 2075?
Manifold MarketsWill a major meteor strike hit Earth before 2030?
KalshiEvidence of life out of Earth by the end of 2026?
FutuurWhich company has the best AI model end of September?
PolymarketKurallar
Resolves as YES if, by January 1st, 2070, Earth is equipped with an operational Space Elevator.
- This refers to a structure or a system of structures that extends from the surface of the Earth into space, allowing for the transport of goods and people to and from Earth's orbit without the use of traditional rocket propulsion.
- The Space Elevator must be capable of regular operation and able to sustain continuous movement of payloads between Earth and space.
- Questions with the same criteria:
- @/RemNi/will-earth-have-a-space-elevator-be-3192414ff7cb
- @/RemNi/will-earth-have-a-space-elevator-be-292c3a01b029
Açık piyasalar
SpacePOLYMARKETWhich company has the best AI model end of September?
- Anthropic+2.0pt89%
- OpenAI-2.8pt9%
- Google-0.1pt2%
+18 daha fazla sonuç
- Toplam Hacim
- ₺128,8 Mn
- 24s Hacim
- ₺5,4 Mn
POLYMARKETLargest IPO by market cap in 2026?
- Anthropic+0.4pt58.8%
- SpaceX-3.5pt39.2%
- OpenAI+0.1pt2.1%
+9 daha fazla sonuç
LIMITLESSSpaceX (SPCX) Up or Down - Daily
- No50.5%
- Yes49.5%
- Toplam Hacim
- ₺5,5 Mn
- 24s Hacim
- ₺1,2 Mn
KALSHIHow many launches will SpaceX have in September?
- Above 8-7.0pt83%
- Above 9-28.0pt45%
- Above 10-10.0pt13%
+8 daha fazla sonuç
- Toplam Hacim
KALSHIWhen will Tesla and SpaceX merge?
- Before 2028-2.0pt63%
- Before Apr 1, 202751%
- Before May 1, 202749%
+8 daha fazla sonuç
- Toplam Hacim
- ₺49,6 Mn
POLYMARKETWhich company has the best AI model end of October?
- Anthropic+0.5pt72.8%
- OpenAI-0.3pt16.5%
- Google+0.4pt7.8%
+18 daha fazla sonuç
- Will the Doge-1 Lunar Mission launch by which date?
- Which company has the best AI Agent end of September?
- Third-best AI Lab end of September?
- Third-best AI Lab end of October?
- Which company has #1 AI model end of September? (Style Control On)
- AI data center in space by which date?
- Highest Grok score on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026?
- Will a new interstellar visitor be confirmed before 2027?
- Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by which date?
Sık sorulan sorular
- Will Earth have a Space Elevator before 2070? için güncel oranlar nedir?
- Manifold Markets, 8 Eylül 2026 itibarıyla No için 60% fiyatlıyor.
- Will Earth have a Space Elevator before 2070? ne zaman sonuçlanacak?
- Will Earth have a Space Elevator before 2070? için öngörülen sonuçlanma tarihi 1 Mart 2070.
- Will Earth have a Space Elevator before 2070? nasıl sonuçlandırılıyor?
- Manifold Markets bu piyasayı şu şekilde sonuçlandırır: Resolves as YES if, by January 1st, 2070, Earth is equipped with an operational Space Elevator.