Manifold MarketsKYC yokDoğrulanmış sonuçlanma verisiOrta düzey kalibreGüncel topluluk tahminiHayır 61.5%
Tahminciler
42
Soru türü
binary
Yöntem
Play-money forecasting platform
Kaynak türü
Tahmin
Piyasa verileri
8 saat önce güncellendi
Guncelligini yitirmis11 Eyl 25 00:04 UTC11 Eyl 35 00:04 UTC
Trendler
İlgili Piyasalar
Bağlam için ilgili sorular; eşdeğer sözleşmelerin karşılaştırması değildir.
Will rapper d4vd receive the death penalty?
Manifold MarketsWhat's true about Charlie Kirk's shooter
Manifold MarketsWill multiple people be charged for Charlie Kirk’s death?
Manifold MarketsTyler Robinson convicted of homicide?
PolymarketLindsay Clancy convicted of murder by which date?
PolymarketNothing Ever Happens: 2026
PolymarketKurallar
Update 2025-09-14 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): - If Tyler Robinson is not the killer, the market will wait until the actual killer is identified.
- Dying in prison is not receiving the death penalty.
- Update 2025-09-17 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): - Requires actual execution: Resolves YES only if the killer is put to death via capital punishment (e.g., firing squad, lethal injection).
- A death sentence without execution does not count.
Açık piyasalar
Crime & JusticePOLYMARKETTyler Robinson convicted of homicide?
- No+4.5pt65%
- Yes-4.5pt35%
- Toplam Hacim
- ₺19,6 Mn
- 24s Hacim
- ₺1,5 Mn
POLYMARKETLindsay Clancy convicted of murder by which date?
- 2027-2.0pt21%
- 2026-0.1pt5%
- Toplam Hacim
- ₺28 Mn
- 24s Hacim
- ₺692,8 B
POLYMARKETNothing Ever Happens: 2026
- Yes+2.5pt84%
- No-2.5pt16%
- Toplam Hacim
- ₺38,1 Mn
- 24s Hacim
- ₺426 B
POLYMARKETTrump out as President before 2027?
- No94.1%
- Yes5.9%
- Toplam Hacim
- ₺553,7 Mn
- 24s Hacim
- ₺258,9 B
KALSHIWill Trump be impeached and removed from office?
- No85%
- Yes-2.0pt15%
- Toplam Hacim
- ₺32,5 Mn
- 24s Hacim
- ₺207,1 B
POLYMARKETIran charges Hormuz fees by which date?
- December 31+1.5pt28%
- October 31-0.5pt12%
- September 30+1.0pt7%
+3 daha fazla sonuç
- Maduro Prison Time?
- Who will be arrested in 2026?
- Jeffrey Epstein confirmed to be alive before 2027?
- What will Brett Kavanaugh say during his Notre Dame Lecture?
- Who will be charged with a federal crime in 2026?
- Who will be named in Epstein files released in 2026?
- Michael Saylor federally charged by December 31, 2026?
- Anthony Fauci charged by December 31?
- James Comey charges dropped by December 31?
- Tom Lee charged by December 31?
Sık sorulan sorular
- Will Charlie Kirk's killer receive the death penalty? için güncel oranlar nedir?
- Manifold Markets, 8 Eylül 2026 itibarıyla No için 62% fiyatlıyor.
- Will Charlie Kirk's killer receive the death penalty? ne zaman sonuçlanacak?
- Will Charlie Kirk's killer receive the death penalty? için öngörülen sonuçlanma tarihi 11 Eylül 2035.
- Will Charlie Kirk's killer receive the death penalty? nasıl sonuçlandırılıyor?
- Manifold Markets bu piyasayı şu şekilde sonuçlandırır: Update 2025-09-14 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): - If Tyler Robinson is not the killer, the market will wait until the actual killer is identified.