PolymarketKullanılabilirliği kontrol etKYC yok%2 ücretDoğrulanmış sonuçlanma verisiİyi kalibreGüncel ima edilen olasılık
December 31, 3%+0.1pt
Piyasa kalitesi
57 / 100
Orta kalite24s Hacim
₺207,7
Likidite
₺858 B
Orta likiditeAlış / Satış
2.0% / 3.3%
Spread
1.3 pt
Dar spreadYorumlar
1
7g Değişim
+0.8 pts
Piyasa verileri
4 dakika önce güncellendi
13 Şub 26 00:08 UTC1 Oca 27 04:59 UTC
Trendler
0%
İlgili Piyasalar
Bağlam için ilgili sorular; eşdeğer sözleşmelerin karşılaştırması değildir.
Will MrBeast (Jimmy Donaldson) be convicted of a crime before the end of 2026?
Manifold MarketsNothing Ever Happens 2026
Manifold MarketsNothing Ever Happens: 2026
PolymarketZhang Youxia sentenced to prison before 2027?
PolymarketWill Zhang Youxia re-appear in public, alive, by EOY 2026?
Manifold MarketsWho will be charged with a federal crime in 2026?
KalshiKurallar
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Jimmy Lai is released from custody by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
- If Lai is released but remains under house arrest, the market will still resolve to "Yes".
- If Lai is released on parole, bond, or any other condition that results in them leaving state custody, the market will resolve to "Yes".
- Transporting Lai to another location of custody (e.g., a different prison, court, or hospital within the correctional system) will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes".
- Extradition of Lai to another country where he remains in custody will also not count.
Açık piyasalar
GeopoliticsPOLYMARKETUS x Iran Effective Ceasefire begins by...? (2 week pause)
- September 30+2.0pt76%
- September 18+3.0pt72%
- September 11+6.0pt66%
+2 daha fazla sonuç
- Toplam Hacim
- ₺89,3 Mn
- 24s Hacim
- ₺31,7 Mn
POLYMARKETWhich party will gain most seats in Russian Parliamentary Election?
- United Russia (ER)+0.5pt75%
- New People (NL)-0.8pt21%
- Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR)+0.2pt3%
POLYMARKETStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?
- No+4.0pt84.2%
- Yes-4.0pt15.8%
- Toplam Hacim
- ₺542,2 Mn
- 24s Hacim
- ₺14,5 Mn
POLYMARKETUS announces end of Iranian blockade by which date?
- December 31+0.5pt50.4%
- October 31-1.0pt28.7%
- September 30-1.0pt12.2%
+17 daha fazla sonuç
POLYMARKETIsrael x Iran ceasefire continues through which date?
- July 18+0.3pt100%
- July 20+0.1pt100%
- July 22+0.5pt100%
+20 daha fazla sonuç
KALSHIUS-Iran nuclear deal?
- Before Jan 20, 2029-5.0pt29%
- Before Jan 1, 202826%
- Before Feb 1, 2027+1.0pt10%
+7 daha fazla sonuç
- Toplam Hacim
- ₺391,8 Mn
- Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
- Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by which date?
- US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by which date?
- Will Iran withdraw from the NPT before 2027?
- Next round of US-Iran peace talks by which date?
- US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by which date?
- Iran-Oman Hormuz Management Agreement by which date?
- Who will attend a round of US-Iran peace talks by December 31?
- Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by which date?
Sık sorulan sorular
- Jimmy Lai released by which date? için güncel oranlar nedir?
- Polymarket, 10 Eylül 2026 itibarıyla December 31, için 3% fiyatlıyor.
- Jimmy Lai released by which date? ne zaman sonuçlanacak?
- Jimmy Lai released by which date? için öngörülen sonuçlanma tarihi 1 Ocak 2027.
- Jimmy Lai released by which date? nasıl sonuçlandırılıyor?
- Polymarket bu piyasayı şu şekilde sonuçlandırır: This market will resolve to "Yes" if Jimmy Lai is released from custody by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.