Will autonomous drone swarms kill over a thousand soldiers by the end of the Ukraine-Russia War?
JeopolitikOne-OffEğlenceMüzikRusya / Ukrayna13y
Manifold MarketsKYC yokDoğrulanmış sonuçlanma verisiOrta düzey kalibreGüncel topluluk tahmini
Hayır 60.9%
Hayır 60.9%Tahminciler
24
Soru türü
binary
Yöntem
Play-money forecasting platform
Kaynak türü
Tahmin
Piyasa verileri
1 dakika önce güncellendi
8 Şub 24 15:32 UTC16 Şub 40 04:59 UTC
Trendler
İlgili Piyasalar
Bağlam için ilgili sorular; eşdeğer sözleşmelerin karşılaştırması değildir.
Will the Ukraine-Russia war cause a nuclear disaster before 2028?
Manifold MarketsWill Lex Fridman interview Putin before the Ukraine-Russia war ends?
Manifold MarketsWhat cities will change hands before the Ukraine-Russia war ends
Manifold MarketsWill Ukraine still hold Zaporizhzhia city after the war between Ukraine and Russia ends?
Manifold MarketsNATO downs another Russian drone before Russia x Ukraine peace talks?
PolymarketNATO downs another Russian drone by which date?
PolymarketKurallar
I'll define the end of the war as either a negotiated peace agreement, the dissolution of the Ukrainian state or army, the withdrawal of Russian troops from Ukraine, or general consensus among reputable journalism outlets that the war is over.
- I'll define autonomous drone swarms by the following criteria
- While they can be instructed by humans, the individual drones of the swarm have to act autonomously
- A "swarm" has to include five or more drones acting in concert
- A "drone" is an insect whose role it is to serve the hive's queen.
- I am not an entomologist so I am happy to receive feedback on this definition.