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26 Eki 2026 09:52 UTC itibarıyla veriler · politika pm-quality-4
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Will autonomous drone swarms kill over a thousand soldiers by the end of the Ukraine-Russia War?
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PolymarketNATO x Russia military clash by which date?
PolymarketKurallar
Will the military conflict cause release of nuclear material.
- This includes from damage to a nuclear plant or the accidental or intentional release of radiological material from a weapon (eg. "dirty bomb").
- This of course includes detonation of a tactical nuclear weapon.
- Update 2026-01-14 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): The market will resolve YES only for direct causes from the Ukraine-Russia conflict, specifically:
- Nuclear disasters caused by Ukraine, Russia, or other belligerent countries directly participating in the conflict
- Does not include indirect consequences such as nuclear proliferation to other countries as a result of the conflict