Manifold MarketsKYC yokDoğrulanmış sonuçlanma verisiOrta düzey kalibreGüncel topluluk tahminiEvet 73.3%
Tahminciler
9
Soru türü
binary
Yöntem
Play-money forecasting platform
Kaynak türü
Tahmin
Piyasa verileri
6 dakika önce güncellendi
17 Haz 26 08:16 UTC10 Eyl 26 12:25 UTC
Trendler
İlgili Piyasalar
Bağlam için ilgili sorular; eşdeğer sözleşmelerin karşılaştırması değildir.
Will October 2026 U.S. PPI final demand rise at least 0.3% month-over-month?
Manifold MarketsWill August 2026 U.S. advance retail sales rise at least 0.5% month-over-month?
Manifold MarketsWill August 2026 core CPI-U rise at least 0.3% month-over-month?
Manifold MarketsFed Decision in September?
PolymarketCPI in August
KalshiFed rate hike by which date?
PolymarketKurallar
This market resolves YES if the initial BLS Producer Price Index release for August 2026 reports that the PPI for final demand rose 0.3% or more month-over-month on a seasonally adjusted basis.
- Use the headline Final Demand row in the BLS Producer Price Indexes news release, seasonally adjusted one-month percent change from July 2026 to August 2026.
- Resolve NO if that seasonally adjusted month-over-month change is 0.2% or lower.
- Do not use CPI, PCE, import/export prices, year-over-year PPI, core PPI, final demand less foods/energy/trade services, not-seasonally-adjusted change, or later annual revisions unless BLS corrects the initial August 2026 release before resolution.
- If the August 2026 PPI release is delayed, wait for the first BLS release of the August 2026 figure unless there is no BLS August 2026 PPI release by September 17, 2026, in which case resolve N/A. Creation context: {"latest_official_context": {"final_demand_less_food_energy_trade_sa_mom_may_2026": 0.8, "final_demand_sa_mom_april_2026": 1.1, "final_demand_sa_mom_march_2026": 0.7, "final_demand_sa_mom_may_2026": 1.1, "final_demand_yoy_may_2026": 6.5, "note": "June and July 2026 PPI releases were still future releases at this market's creation time.", "release": "Producer Price Indexes - May 2026"}, "metric": "Seasonally adjusted one-month percent change in final demand PPI from July 2026 to August 2026", "related_non_duplicates": ["May, June, and July 2026 PPI final-demand markets are prior-reference-month markets, not August 2026 duplicates.", "CPI, PCE, AHE, import/export price, and calendar-year inflation markets use different releases or series.", "Core PPI or final-demand-less-food-energy-trade-services questions are not duplicates of headline final demand."], "release_schedule": "BLS PPI schedule lists Producer Price Index for August 2026 on 2026-09-10 at 08:30 AM Eastern.", "resolver_surface": "Initial BLS Producer Price Index release for August 2026", "series_family": "PPI final demand, seasonally adjusted", "threshold": "+0.3% month-over-month or higher"}.
- Sources / resolver surfaces: - BLS PPI release schedule: https://www.bls.gov/schedule/news_release/ppi.htm - BLS 2026 selected release schedule: https://www.bls.gov/schedule/news_release/current_year.asp - BLS current PPI release page: https://www.bls.gov/news.release/ppi.htm - BLS PPI home: https://www.bls.gov/ppi/
Açık piyasalar
InflationPOLYMARKETFed Decision in September?
- 25 bps increase+3.0pt54.5%
- No change-2.0pt45.5%
- 50+ bps decrease0%
+2 daha fazla sonuç
- Toplam Hacim
- ₺5,1 Mr
- 24s Hacim
- ₺86,5 Mn
KALSHICPI in August
- Above -0.4%+1.0pt99%
- Above -0.3%99%
- Above -0.1%99%
+12 daha fazla sonuç
- Toplam Hacim
- ₺20,2 Mn
- 24s Hacim
- ₺2 Mn
KALSHIInflation in August 2026 (CPI YoY)
- Above 2.5%99%
- Above 2.6%99%
- Above 2.8%99%
+23 daha fazla sonuç
- Toplam Hacim
- ₺30,9 Mn
- 24s Hacim
- ₺1,7 Mn
POLYMARKETFed rate hike by which date?
- October Meeting+3.0pt54.2%
- September Meeting+2.0pt45.8%
- April Meeting-0.1pt0%
+2 daha fazla sonuç
KALSHINYC median asking rent in December 2026
- Above $3,80095%
- Above $3,90081%
- Above $4,00044%
+5 daha fazla sonuç
- Toplam Hacim
- ₺4,5 Mn
- 24s Hacim
- ₺429,2 B
POLYMARKETCore CPI MoM - August 2026
- 0.2%-1.5pt51.9%
- 0.3%+4.0pt34.6%
- 0.1%-2.5pt9.6%
+4 daha fazla sonuç
- Fed rate hike in 2026?
- Will the Citrini scenario happen?
- Fed decisions (Jun-Sep)
- How many Fed rate hikes in 2026?
- CPI in September
- CPI-U index in August
- August Inflation US - Annual
- August Inflation US - Monthly
- How high will inflation get in 2026?
- CPI core in August
- August Inflation China - Annual
- State of the economy at the end of 2026
Sık sorulan sorular
- Will August 2026 U.S. PPI final demand rise at least 0.3% month-over-month? için güncel oranlar nedir?
- Manifold Markets, 8 Eylül 2026 itibarıyla Yes için 73% fiyatlıyor.
- Will August 2026 U.S. PPI final demand rise at least 0.3% month-over-month? ne zaman sonuçlanacak?
- Will August 2026 U.S. PPI final demand rise at least 0.3% month-over-month? için öngörülen sonuçlanma tarihi 10 Eylül 2026.
- Will August 2026 U.S. PPI final demand rise at least 0.3% month-over-month? nasıl sonuçlandırılıyor?
- Manifold Markets bu piyasayı şu şekilde sonuçlandırır: This market resolves YES if the initial BLS Producer Price Index release for August 2026 reports that the PPI for final demand rose 0.3% or more month-over-month on a seasonally adjusted basis.