Will ASP Isotopes Yb-176 output (15m trailing, 3m lag) exceed 2.0 kg by Dec 2027?
RegülasyonOne-Off1yManifold MarketsKYC yokDoğrulanmış sonuçlanma verisiİyi kalibreGüncel topluluk tahminiHayır 54.8%
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4
Soru türü
binary
Yöntem
Play-money forecasting platform
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Tahmin
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2 saat önce güncellendi
Guncelligini yitirmis19 Şub 26 15:11 UTC31 Ara 27 05:00 UTC
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KalshiKurallar
This market resolves YES if Ytterbium-176 production from ASP Isotopes in the last 15 months (excluding the last 3 months) exceeds 2.0 kg by 2027-12-31.
- Measurement methodology:
- Calculate total Ytterbium-176 production that was completed during the 15-month period ending 3 months before the settlement date
- For 2027-12-31 settlement: measure production from 2026-07-04 to 2027-10-02
- "Production" means enriched Ytterbium-176 that reached target purity (≥99.75%)
- Sum all production from ASP Isotopes' Quantum Enrichment facilities
