Will ASP Isotopes Yb-176 output (15m trailing, 3m lag) exceed 1.0 kg by Dec 2026?
RegülasyonOne-OffEmtiaBilim2ayManifold MarketsKYC yokDoğrulanmış sonuçlanma verisiOrta düzey kalibreGüncel topluluk tahminiHayır 64.2%
Tahminciler
5
Soru türü
binary
Yöntem
Play-money forecasting platform
Kaynak türü
Tahmin
Piyasa verileri
15 dakika önce güncellendi
19 Şub 26 15:07 UTC31 Ara 26 05:00 UTC
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KalshiKurallar
This market resolves YES if Ytterbium-176 production from ASP Isotopes in the last 15 months (excluding the last 3 months) exceeds 1.0 kg by 2026-12-31.
- Measurement methodology:
- Calculate total Ytterbium-176 production that was completed during the 15-month period ending 3 months before the settlement date
- For 2026-12-31 settlement: measure production from 2025-07-04 to 2026-10-02
- "Production" means enriched Ytterbium-176 that reached target purity (≥99.75%)
- Sum all production from ASP Isotopes' Quantum Enrichment facilities
