Manifold MarketsKYC yokDoğrulanmış sonuçlanma verisiOrta düzey kalibreGüncel topluluk tahminiHayır 85.1%
Tahminciler
17
Soru türü
binary
Yöntem
Play-money forecasting platform
Kaynak türü
Tahmin
Piyasa verileri
11 saat önce güncellendi
Guncelligini yitirmis29 Eki 25 19:55 UTC31 Ara 27 23:59 UTC
Trendler
İlgili Piyasalar
Bağlam için ilgili sorular; eşdeğer sözleşmelerin karşılaştırması değildir.
Will the US or UK nationalize any frontier AI labs by 2035?
Manifold MarketsWill HOC beat the big AI labs to AGI?
Manifold MarketsWhat will be the top-3 AI labs in 2030?
Manifold MarketsWill McCormick merge with Unilever Foods by which date?
PolymarketWhen will Tesla and SpaceX merge?
KalshiWill Tesla merge with SpaceX by December 31, 2026?
ForecastExKurallar
Resolution criteria
- This market resolves YES if any two of the following AI companies merge by December 31, 2027:
- Google AI (DeepMind)
- Meta AI (Superintelligence Labs)
- A merger is defined as a transaction where one company acquires another, resulting in a single combined entity under unified ownership and control.
- Partnerships, joint ventures, minority stake acquisitions, or talent acquisitions alone do not necessarily count as mergers, however something that clearly constitutes a merger in all but name would count.
Açık piyasalar
Corporate ActionsPOLYMARKETAnthropic IPO by which date?
- December 31,-1.0pt90%
- December 15,-0.5pt86%
- November 30,85%
+7 daha fazla sonuç
- Toplam Hacim
- ₺131 Mn
- 24s Hacim
- ₺4 Mn
KALSHIBoeing commercial airplane deliveries in 2026
- Above 56095%
- Above 580-1.0pt90%
- Above 60086%
+5 daha fazla sonuç
- Toplam Hacim
- ₺10,4 Mn
- 24s Hacim
- ₺2,4 Mn
KALSHIWhen will Tesla and SpaceX merge?
- Before 2028+3.0pt67%
- Before May 1, 2027-1.0pt49%
- Before Apr 1, 2027-7.0pt43%
+8 daha fazla sonuç
POLYMARKETLargest IPO by market cap in 2026?
- Anthropic+1.3pt59.8%
- SpaceX-4.5pt38.1%
- OpenAI+0.1pt2.1%
+9 daha fazla sonuç
POLYMARKETOpenAI IPO Closing Market Cap
- 1.5T++12.1pt77.5%
- 1.25T–1.5T-3.0pt8.8%
- 1T–1.25T-1.4pt5.9%
+4 daha fazla sonuç
KALSHIWill GameStop acquire eBay in 2026?
- No92%
- Yes-1.0pt8%
- Toplam Hacim
- ₺150,7 Mn
- 24s Hacim
- ₺966,2 B
- Israel Election: Zionist Home & Yashar Run on Same List?
- Anthropic IPO Closing Market Cap
- When will Anthropic officially announce an IPO?
- Will Anthropic’s valuation hit __ by December 31?
- Will OpenAI's valuation hit __ by December 31?
- What will OpenAI's IPO valuation be?
- Which companies will be acquired before 2027?
- Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by which date?
- Will California authorize an alternative wage or other qualifying relief from goat-herder wage and overtime obligations before Oct 1, 2026?
- In which month will Anthropic IPO?
Sık sorulan sorular
- Will any two top AI labs merge by EOY 2027? için güncel oranlar nedir?
- Manifold Markets, 8 Eylül 2026 itibarıyla No için 85% fiyatlıyor.
- Will any two top AI labs merge by EOY 2027? ne zaman sonuçlanacak?
- Will any two top AI labs merge by EOY 2027? için öngörülen sonuçlanma tarihi 31 Aralık 2027.
- Will any two top AI labs merge by EOY 2027? nasıl sonuçlandırılıyor?
- Manifold Markets bu piyasayı şu şekilde sonuçlandırır: Resolution criteria