Manifold MarketsKYC yokDoğrulanmış sonuçlanma verisiİyi kalibreGüncel topluluk tahminiHayır 87.9%
Tahminciler
18
Soru türü
binary
Yöntem
Play-money forecasting platform
Kaynak türü
Tahmin
Piyasa verileri
11 dakika önce güncellendi
29 Eki 25 19:55 UTC31 Ara 27 23:59 UTC
Trendler
İlgili Piyasalar
Bağlam için ilgili sorular; eşdeğer sözleşmelerin karşılaştırması değildir.
Which AI labs announce a training pause by October 31?
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PolymarketWhich AI labs announce a full training pause in 2026?
PolymarketWill the US or UK nationalize any frontier AI labs by 2035?
Manifold MarketsWill HOC beat the big AI labs to AGI?
Manifold MarketsWhat will be the top-3 AI labs in 2030?
Manifold MarketsKurallar
Resolution criteria
- This market resolves YES if any two of the following AI companies merge by December 31, 2027:
- Google AI (DeepMind)
- Meta AI (Superintelligence Labs)
- A merger is defined as a transaction where one company acquires another, resulting in a single combined entity under unified ownership and control.
- Partnerships, joint ventures, minority stake acquisitions, or talent acquisitions alone do not necessarily count as mergers, however something that clearly constitutes a merger in all but name would count.