Manifold MarketsKYC yokDoğrulanmış sonuçlanma verisiOrta düzey kalibreGüncel topluluk tahmini
Anthropic 19%26 seçenek arasında lider
Anthropic 19%Tahminciler
52
Soru türü
multiple choice
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Play-money forecasting platform
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Tahmin
7g Değişim
0.0 pts
Piyasa verileri
11 saat önce güncellendi
Guncelligini yitirmis19 Ara 22 22:25 UTC1 Oca 31 05:59 UTC
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İlgili Piyasalar
Bağlam için ilgili sorular; eşdeğer sözleşmelerin karşılaştırması değildir.
Will HOC beat the big AI labs to AGI?
Manifold MarketsWhich AI labs announce a training pause by October 31?
PolymarketWhich AI labs commit to third party vetting by October 31?
PolymarketWhich AI labs announce a full training pause in 2026?
PolymarketFrontier AI labs announce joint pacing agreement in 2026?
PolymarketWill any two top AI labs merge by EOY 2027?
Manifold MarketsKurallar
2022 would resolve as OpenAI, Stability.AI, Deepmind
- Based on social media buzz, search trends, etc. — i.e. purely on buzz/prestige
- 50/30/20 resolution to the most impactful in public opinion during the year
