Güncel topluluk tahmini
Evet 57.6%
Tahminciler
3
Soru türü
binary
Yöntem
Play-money forecasting platform
Kaynak türü
Tahmin
Piyasa verileri
1 saat önce güncellendi
Gecikmeli6 Nis 26 18:23 UTC31 Ara 28 05:00 UTC
Trendler
İlgili Piyasalar
Bağlam için ilgili sorular; eşdeğer sözleşmelerin karşılaştırması değildir.
Will at least 80 percent of solar modules deployed in the US in 2026 be manufactured in the US?
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Manifold MarketsWill Nectome perform 1,000+ brain preservations in a single calendar year before 2040?
Manifold MarketsWill the annual average strength of the AMOC fall below 8 Sverdrups for any calendar year through 2030?
ForecastExUS solar capacity installed in 2026
KalshiWill Trump create a National Bitcoin Reserve in 2026?
KalshiKurallar
This market resolves YES if any solar manufacturer has commercially shipped solar modules containing a perovskite absorber layer totaling 1 GW or more in a single calendar year on or before December 31, 2028.
- YES if: Any company ships >=1,000 MW of commercial perovskite or perovskite-silicon tandem modules (with bankable warranties) in any calendar year 2026, 2027, or 2028 NO if: No manufacturer reaches the 1 GW annual shipment threshold by Dec 31, 2028.
- Research modules, BIPV pilot projects, or indoor PV products without bankable warranties do not count.
- Resolution sources (priority order):
- NREL / IEA photovoltaic power systems deployment tracking
- LONGi, Oxford PV, Saule Technologies commercial shipment announcements
Açık piyasalar
TechKALSHIBTC price on Sep 8, 2026 at 5pm EDT?
- $76,750 or above99%
- $76,500 or above99%
- $76,250 or above99%
+77 daha fazla sonuç
- Toplam Hacim
- ₺77,5 Mn
- 24s Hacim
- ₺76,3 Mn
KALSHIBTC price on Sep 11, 2026 at 5pm EDT?
- $72,500 or above+2.0pt99%
- $72,000 or above+3.0pt99%
- $69,500 or above+1.0pt98%
+47 daha fazla sonuç
- Toplam Hacim
KALSHIHighest temperature in Los Angeles on Sep 8, 2026?
- 88° to 89°-2.0pt28.7%
- 90° or above+11.0pt26.7%
- 86° to 87°-10.0pt25.7%
+3 daha fazla sonuç
- Toplam Hacim
POLYMARKETElon Musk # tweets September 4 - September 11, 2026?
- 180-199+9.0pt31.7%
- 160-179-2.0pt21.1%
- 200-219+5.0pt21.1%
+23 daha fazla sonuç
KALSHIWhere will it rain on Sep 8, 2026?
- New Orleans+36.0pt99%
- Houston+69.0pt99%
- Minneapolis+6.0pt99%
+19 daha fazla sonuç
- Toplam Hacim
- ₺14,6 Mn
POLYMARKETElon Musk # tweets September 7 - September 9, 2026?
- 40-64+6.0pt52%
- 65-89+24.5pt45.1%
- 90-114-2.5pt2.9%
+7 daha fazla sonuç
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- Next James Bond actor?
Sık sorulan sorular
- Will any manufacturer ship 1 GW or more of perovskite solar modules in a single calendar year by December 31, 2028? için güncel oranlar nedir?
- Manifold Markets, 8 Eylül 2026 itibarıyla Yes için 58% fiyatlıyor.
- Will any manufacturer ship 1 GW or more of perovskite solar modules in a single calendar year by December 31, 2028? ne zaman sonuçlanacak?
- Will any manufacturer ship 1 GW or more of perovskite solar modules in a single calendar year by December 31, 2028? için öngörülen sonuçlanma tarihi 31 Aralık 2028.
- Will any manufacturer ship 1 GW or more of perovskite solar modules in a single calendar year by December 31, 2028? nasıl sonuçlandırılıyor?
- Manifold Markets bu piyasayı şu şekilde sonuçlandırır: This market resolves YES if any solar manufacturer has commercially shipped solar modules containing a perovskite absorber layer totaling 1 GW or more in a single calendar year on or before December 31, 2028.