Manifold MarketsKYC yokDoğrulanmış sonuçlanma verisiOrta düzey kalibreGüncel topluluk tahminiHayır 93.5%
Tahminciler
33
Soru türü
binary
Yöntem
Play-money forecasting platform
Kaynak türü
Tahmin
Piyasa verileri
22 saat önce güncellendi
Guncelligini yitirmis10 Şub 26 16:14 UTC31 Ara 26 23:59 UTC
Trendler
İlgili Piyasalar
Bağlam için ilgili sorular; eşdeğer sözleşmelerin karşılaştırması değildir.
Will GigaChat release an open-weights model with ≥100B parameters by the end of 2026?
Manifold MarketsWill an Open Weights Model be #1 on the Artificial Analysis Intelligence Index in 2026
Manifold MarketsOpen vs. Closed Token Volume (open weights share) in Oct 26, 2026
KalshiOpen vs. Closed Token Volume (open weights share) in Oct 30, 2026
KalshiOpen vs. Closed Token Volume (open weights share) in Oct 28, 2026
KalshiOpen Weights text-to-image model with Elo ≥ 1200 on Artificial Analysis by EOY 2026?
Manifold MarketsKurallar
Resolves YES if Anthropic posts an open-source or open-weights model in 2026.
- It doesn't have to be big, and it doesn't have to be new (releasing, say, Opus 3 still counts).
