Will GigaChat release an open-weights model with ≥100B parameters by the end of 2026?
Russia / UkraineOne-OffYZ3ayManifold MarketsKYC yokDoğrulanmış sonuçlanma verisiOrta düzey kalibreGüncel topluluk tahminiHayır 54.8%
Tahminciler
1
Soru türü
binary
Yöntem
Play-money forecasting platform
Kaynak türü
Tahmin
Piyasa verileri
12 saat önce güncellendi
Guncelligini yitirmis29 Eki 25 13:25 UTC1 Oca 27 23:59 UTC
Trendler
İlgili Piyasalar
Bağlam için ilgili sorular; eşdeğer sözleşmelerin karşılaştırması değildir.
Will Anthropic release an open-weights model in 2026?
Manifold MarketsWill an Open Weights Model be #1 on the Artificial Analysis Intelligence Index in 2026
Manifold MarketsOpen Weights text-to-image model with Elo ≥ 1200 on Artificial Analysis by EOY 2026?
Manifold MarketsWill Anthropic sign the Open Weights and American AI Leadership letter?
KalshiTrump, Putin, and Zelensky seen together before 2027?
PolymarketNATO x Russia military clash by which date?
PolymarketKurallar
In June 2025, the GigaChat team released three open-source models based on the Mixture of Experts (MoE) architecture with 20 billion total parameters (3.3 billion active).
- GigaChat is developed by SaluteDevices, a subsidiary of Sberbank, one of Russia's largest financial institutions and a leading player in Russian AI development.
- While the team has released smaller open-weights models, they maintain proprietary versions (GigaChat Pro and GigaChat MAX) for which no architectural details or weights have been disclosed.
- The progression to releasing significantly larger open-weights models would provide signal towards several important developments in Russia's AI ecosystem:
- Computational capacity: Training models above 100B parameters requires substantial GPU clusters and energy infrastructure.
- Delivering a ≥100B judged worthwhile to make open-weights would suggest access to a reasonable scale of AI infrastructure
Sık sorulan sorular
- Will GigaChat release an open-weights model with ≥100B parameters by the end of 2026? için güncel oranlar nedir?
- Manifold Markets, 20 Eylül 2026 itibarıyla No için 55% fiyatlıyor.
- Will GigaChat release an open-weights model with ≥100B parameters by the end of 2026? ne zaman sonuçlanacak?
- Will GigaChat release an open-weights model with ≥100B parameters by the end of 2026? için öngörülen sonuçlanma tarihi 1 Ocak 2027.
- Will GigaChat release an open-weights model with ≥100B parameters by the end of 2026? nasıl sonuçlandırılıyor?
- Manifold Markets bu piyasayı şu şekilde sonuçlandırır: In June 2025, the GigaChat team released three open-source models based on the Mixture of Experts (MoE) architecture with 20 billion total parameters (3.3 billion active).