Güncel topluluk tahmini
Evet 96.1%
Tahminciler
17
Soru türü
binary
Yöntem
Play-money forecasting platform
Kaynak türü
Tahmin
Piyasa verileri
16 saat önce güncellendi
Guncelligini yitirmis1 Tem 23 13:47 UTC31 Ara 27 23:59 UTC
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İlgili Piyasalar
Bağlam için ilgili sorular; eşdeğer sözleşmelerin karşılaştırması değildir.
Will an AI co-author a mathematics research paper published in a reputable journal before the end of 2026?
Manifold MarketsWill an AI co-author a mathematics research paper published in a reputable journal before the end of 2026?
Manifold Marketswill a paper released *before 2030* by a frontier AI lab have one of their AIs as a co-author?
Manifold MarketsTop AI model in September?
KalshiBest AI at the end of 2026?
KalshiAnthropic IPO by which date?
PolymarketKurallar
When integrated with tools such as formal proof verifiers, internet search, and symbolic math packages, I expect, say, 2026-level AI, when used properly, will be a trustworthy co-author in mathematical research, and in many other fields as well.
- this one is for 2028
- Resolves YES if a real professional mathematician claims this happened for them, unless consensus of other experts is that it didn't happen
- https://unlocked.microsoft.com/ai-anthology/terence-tao/
Açık piyasalar
TechKALSHIGuyana Amazon Warriors vs Antigua And Barbuda Falcons
- Guyana Amazon Warriors-5.0pt58.4%
- Antigua And Barbuda Falcons+4.0pt41.6%
- Toplam Hacim
- ₺66,6 Mn
- 24s Hacim
- ₺62,5 Mn
KALSHIHighest temperature in Los Angeles on Sep 8, 2026?
- 90° or above+72.0pt95.2%
- 88° to 89°-25.0pt1%
- 84° to 85°-10.0pt1%
+3 daha fazla sonuç
- Toplam Hacim
KALSHIWhere will it rain on Sep 8, 2026?
- New Orleans+37.0pt99%
- Houston+67.0pt99%
- Minneapolis+13.0pt99%
+19 daha fazla sonuç
- Toplam Hacim
KALSHIHighest temperature in New York City on Sep 8, 2026?
- 80° to 81°+57.0pt95.2%
- 79° or below-4.0pt1%
- 82° to 83°-46.0pt1%
+3 daha fazla sonuç
- Toplam Hacim
KALSHIBTC price on Sep 11, 2026 at 5pm EDT?
- $72,500 or above+2.0pt99%
- $69,000 or above99%
- $69,500 or above98%
+47 daha fazla sonuç
- Toplam Hacim
- ₺63 Mn
- 24s Hacim
POLYMARKETElon Musk # tweets September 4 - September 11, 2026?
- 180-199+6.0pt34%
- 160-179+4.0pt26.2%
- 200-219-3.0pt17.5%
+23 daha fazla sonuç
- BTC price on Sep 9, 2026 at 5pm EDT?
- Elon Musk # tweets September 7 - September 9, 2026?
- Highest temperature in Austin on Sep 8, 2026?
- Highest temperature in Miami on Sep 8, 2026?
- When will Apple release the iPhone 18?
- Which company has the best AI model end of September?
- Bitcoin price at the end of 2026
- Highest temperature in Chicago on Sep 8, 2026?
- Will Apple release a foldable iPhone by which date?
- When will Apple Inc. release the iPhone 18 Pro?
- Next James Bond actor?
Sık sorulan sorular
- Will AI contribute as much as a co-author would today to a real research mathematics paper before Jan 1 2028? için güncel oranlar nedir?
- Manifold Markets, 8 Eylül 2026 itibarıyla Yes için 96% fiyatlıyor.
- Will AI contribute as much as a co-author would today to a real research mathematics paper before Jan 1 2028? ne zaman sonuçlanacak?
- Will AI contribute as much as a co-author would today to a real research mathematics paper before Jan 1 2028? için öngörülen sonuçlanma tarihi 31 Aralık 2027.
- Will AI contribute as much as a co-author would today to a real research mathematics paper before Jan 1 2028? nasıl sonuçlandırılıyor?
- Manifold Markets bu piyasayı şu şekilde sonuçlandırır: When integrated with tools such as formal proof verifiers, internet search, and symbolic math packages, I expect, say, 2026-level AI, when used properly, will be a trustworthy co-author in mathematical research, and in many other fields as well.