Manifold MarketsKYC yokDoğrulanmış sonuçlanma verisiOrta düzey kalibreGüncel topluluk tahminiHayır 94%
Tahminciler
14
Soru türü
binary
Yöntem
Play-money forecasting platform
Kaynak türü
Tahmin
Piyasa verileri
11 saat önce güncellendi
Guncelligini yitirmis7 Nis 26 15:57 UTC31 Ara 29 23:59 UTC
Trendler
İlgili Piyasalar
Bağlam için ilgili sorular; eşdeğer sözleşmelerin karşılaştırması değildir.
Will a nuclear bomb be used in a terrorist attack before 2035?
Manifold Marketswill a nuclear bomb be thrown in 2026?
Manifold MarketsWill Kazakhstan get a nuclear bomb before end of 2050?
Manifold MarketsWill Iran develop a nuclear bomb by the end of 2026?
FutuurWill South Korea have a nuclear bomb by the end of 2026?
FutuurEuropean military action against Iran by which date?
PolymarketKurallar
Resolution criteria
- This market will resolve to YES if at least one nuclear weapon is detonated within the internationally recognized borders of Iran at any time before January 1, 2030.
- For the purposes of this market, "nuclear weapon" is defined as any explosive device that derives its destructive force from nuclear reactions (fission, fusion, or a combination thereof).
- The determination will be based on consensus reporting from major international news organizations (e.g., Reuters, Associated Press, BBC) and official verification from international bodies such as the International Atomic Energy Agency (IAEA) or the United Nations.
- If there is no confirmation of such an event by the resolution date, the market will resolve to NO.
- As of April 2026, the geopolitical situation in the Middle East involves active conflict between Iran, the United States, and Israel.
Açık piyasalar
Commodities
KALSHIUS gas prices tomorrow
- Above 4.145099%
- Above 4.135099%
- Above 4.130099%
+22 daha fazla sonuç
- Toplam Hacim
- ₺9,8 Mn
- 24s Hacim
- ₺9,8 Mn
KALSHIFlorida gas prices tomorrow
- Above 3.910099%
- Above 3.900099%
- Above 3.915099%
+34 daha fazla sonuç
- Toplam Hacim
- ₺9,1 Mn
- 24s Hacim
- ₺9,1 Mn
POLYMARKETWhat will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit in September 2026?
- ↑ $90+35.5pt100%
- ↑ $85+5.7pt100%
- ↓ $90100%
+22 daha fazla sonuç
KALSHINatural gas price on September 08, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT?
- Above $2.87099%
- Above $2.86599%
- Above $2.85097%
+67 daha fazla sonuç
- Toplam Hacim
- ₺6,7 Mn
- 24s Hacim
- ₺6,6 Mn
KALSHICopper price on September 08, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT?
- Above $6.6099%
- Above $6.64+29.0pt99%
- Above $6.70+47.0pt99%
+47 daha fazla sonuç
- Toplam Hacim
- ₺4,5 Mn
KALSHIOhio gas prices tomorrow
- Above 3.915099%
- Above 3.875099%
- Above 3.890099%
+34 daha fazla sonuç
- Toplam Hacim
- ₺3,6 Mn
- 24s Hacim
- ₺3,6 Mn
- Will the Clarity Act become law?
- Brent crude oil price on September 08, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT?
- Illinois gas prices tomorrow
- Gold price on September 08, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT?
- US gas prices this week
- Oil Price (WTI) on Sep 9, 2026?
- US-Iran nuclear deal?
- Diesel prices tomorrow
- Texas gas prices tomorrow
- How high will peak electricity demand on the Texas ERCOT grid get in 2026?
- Oil Price (WTI) on Sep 11, 2026?
- US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by which date?
Sık sorulan sorular
- Will a nuclear bomb be used against Iran before 2030? için güncel oranlar nedir?
- Manifold Markets, 8 Eylül 2026 itibarıyla No için 94% fiyatlıyor.
- Will a nuclear bomb be used against Iran before 2030? ne zaman sonuçlanacak?
- Will a nuclear bomb be used against Iran before 2030? için öngörülen sonuçlanma tarihi 31 Aralık 2029.
- Will a nuclear bomb be used against Iran before 2030? nasıl sonuçlandırılıyor?
- Manifold Markets bu piyasayı şu şekilde sonuçlandırır: Resolution criteria