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25 Eki 2026 20:28 UTC itibarıyla veriler · politika pm-quality-4
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Play-money forecasting platform
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Guncelligini yitirmis2 Ara 24 02:19 UTC2 Oca 35 07:59 UTC
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İlgili Piyasalar
Bağlam için ilgili sorular; eşdeğer sözleşmelerin karşılaştırması değildir.
Will there be a terrorist attack deadlier than 9/11 before 2035
Manifold MarketsWill any active city of at least 100,000 people be destroyed by a nuclear bomb before 2035?
Manifold MarketsWill there be a confirmed theft of an operational nuclear bomb before 2035?
Manifold MarketsWill the next use of a nuclear bomb in combat be due to a mistaken belief that another bomb was used?
Manifold MarketsWill Iran develop a nuclear bomb by the end of 2026?
FutuurWill South Korea have a nuclear bomb by the end of 2026?
FutuurKurallar
Nuclear terrorism has been a concern since the end of the Cold War, particularly regarding the security of nuclear materials from the former Soviet Union.
- While no terrorist group has successfully detonated a nuclear weapon to date, experts continue to monitor this threat.
- Building or acquiring a nuclear weapon requires highly enriched uranium or plutonium, which are tightly controlled materials.
- Most nuclear power plants use low-enriched uranium, which is not suitable for weapons.
- Resolution Criteria
- This market will resolve YES if a terrorist group or individual successfully detonates a nuclear weapon (fission or fusion bomb) before January 1, 2035.
