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PolymarketKurallar
This event predicts whether Iran will develop a nuclear weapon at any time between January 1, 2026 and December 31, 2026 (inclusive).
- For this market, development means the successful creation of a functional nuclear weapon, as confirmed by authoritative sources.
- The Primary Designated Source (PDS) will be official confirmations by Iran, the International Atomic Energy Agency (IAEA), or the United Nations Security Council.
- If authoritative confirmation is issued that Iran has developed a functional nuclear weapon during this period, this market will resolve to "Yes".
- Otherwise, it will resolve to "No".
- Speculation, intelligence leaks, or unverified claims will not count.