Will a fully synthetic, functional multicellular organism be created before January 1st, 2040?
One-OffBilim13y
Manifold MarketsKYC yokDoğrulanmış sonuçlanma verisiOrta düzey kalibreGüncel topluluk tahmini
Hayır 74.7%
Tahminciler
83
Soru türü
binary
Yöntem
Play-money forecasting platform
Kaynak türü
Tahmin
Piyasa verileri
1 saat önce güncellendi
Gecikmeli17 Mar 23 03:02 UTC2 Oca 40 07:59 UTC
Trendler
İlgili Piyasalar
Bağlam için ilgili sorular; eşdeğer sözleşmelerin karşılaştırması değildir.
Will a robot be created that can fully substitute for a plumber before January 1st, 2040?
Manifold MarketsWill a robot be created that can fully substitute for a plumber before January 1st, 2030?
Manifold MarketsWill in-vitro gametogenesis be used to produce a functional embryo by 2028?
Manifold MarketsWhen will the next Millennium Prize be awarded?
KalshiWill the US confirm that aliens exist by which date?
PolymarketWill the U.S. confirm that aliens exist?
KalshiKurallar
Genetic engineering has made significant advances in recent years, enabling the modification of existing organisms for various applications, such as agriculture, medicine, and environmental remediation.
- However, the creation of a fully synthetic, functional multicellular organism with a distinct synthetic genome represents a major feat in the field of genetic engineering.
- This would involve the design and assembly of an organism's entire genome from scratch and the successful development of a complex, multicellular life form with the ability to grow, reproduce, and perform specific functions.
- The feasibility and timeframe for achieving this goal remain uncertain.
- Will a fully synthetic, functional multicellular organism with a distinct synthetic genome be created before January 1st, 2040?
- Resolution criteria:
Açık piyasalar
ScienceKALSHIWhen will the next Millennium Prize be awarded?
- Before 2035+19.9pt95%
- Before 2030+6.0pt82%
- Before 2029+23.4pt55%
+2 daha fazla sonuç
- Toplam Hacim
- ₺12,7 Mn
- 24s Hacim
- ₺7,1 Mn
POLYMARKETWill the US confirm that aliens exist by which date?
- December 31+0.1pt4%
- September 30+0.1pt1%
- April 300%
+3 daha fazla sonuç
KALSHIWill the U.S. confirm that aliens exist?
- Before Jan 20, 202920%
- Before 202813%
- Before 2027+0.3pt5%
+5 daha fazla sonuç
- Toplam Hacim
- ₺1,6 Mr
- 24s Hacim
- ₺1,6 Mn
KALSHIWhen will the Riemann hypothesis be solved?
- Before 2030+71.0pt92%
- Before 2035+11.0pt56%
- Before 203248%
+1 daha fazla sonuç
- Toplam Hacim
- ₺6,1 Mn
KALSHIWill WHO declare Hantavirus a Public Health Emergency of International Concern this Year?
- No97%
- Yes-0.9pt3%
- Toplam Hacim
- ₺91,4 Mn
- 24s Hacim
- ₺292,1 B
POLYMARKETMin Arctic sea ice extent this summer?
- 4.4-4.6m+15.8pt64.4%
- 4.2-4.4m-16.6pt27.9%
- 4.6-4.8m-0.1pt2.9%
+4 daha fazla sonuç
- How many 5.5 or above earthquakes worldwide September 7 - September 13?
- Will 2026 be the hottest year ever?
- Will there be an 8 magnitude earthquake in California before 2027?
- Major volcano eruption in 2026?
- How many major Atlantic hurricanes will there be in 2026?
- Where will 2026 rank among the hottest years on record?
- When will Compass Pathways submit a NDA for COMP360 psilocybin?
- How many human screwworm cases will be reported in the United States in 2026?
- Which countries will report an Ebola case in 2026?
- US grants license for new nuclear reactor before 2027?
- 9.0 or above earthquake before 2027?
Sık sorulan sorular
- Will a fully synthetic, functional multicellular organism be created before January 1st, 2040? için güncel oranlar nedir?
- Manifold Markets, 9 Eylül 2026 itibarıyla No için 75% fiyatlıyor.
- Will a fully synthetic, functional multicellular organism be created before January 1st, 2040? ne zaman sonuçlanacak?
- Will a fully synthetic, functional multicellular organism be created before January 1st, 2040? için öngörülen sonuçlanma tarihi 2 Ocak 2040.
- Will a fully synthetic, functional multicellular organism be created before January 1st, 2040? nasıl sonuçlandırılıyor?
- Manifold Markets bu piyasayı şu şekilde sonuçlandırır: Genetic engineering has made significant advances in recent years, enabling the modification of existing organisms for various applications, such as agriculture, medicine, and environmental remediation.