Will 10% of any city (>1m pop) in the EU, UK, or US die in any year from disaster by mid 2035
JeopolitikOne-OffSağlık ve TıpAvrupa8yManifold MarketsKYC yokDoğrulanmış sonuçlanma verisiOrta düzey kalibreGüncel topluluk tahminiHayır 81.5%
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16
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binary
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Tahmin
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17 dakika önce güncellendi
5 Tem 25 18:08 UTC30 Haz 35 23:59 UTC
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Will 1% of any city (>1m pop) in the EU, UK, or US die in any year from disaster by mid 2035
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Manifold MarketsKurallar
Disasters which count
- Nuclear strike or accident
- Infrastructure collapse
- War also counts
- Deaths from old age, traffic, etc don't count unless related.
- A death by disaster is an unintended (by the victim, at a prior state in time) death.
