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Bağlam için ilgili sorular; eşdeğer sözleşmelerin karşılaştırması değildir.
Will 10% of New York city die in any year from disaster, before 2035?
Manifold MarketsWill 10% of London die in any year from disaster, before 2035?
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Manifold MarketsWill 1% of any city (>1m pop) in the EU, UK, or US die in any year from disaster by mid 2035
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Some examples of disasters:
- -Nuclear strike
- -Infrastructure collapse, such as from a solar flare
- If a disaster affects Boston, Massachusetts, we'll refer to the total deaths attributed during the calendar year.
- We then calculate that as a percent of the prior population.
- If it's 10% or more, we resolve Yes.
