Which will happen first, Civil War 2 or World War 3?
JeopolitikManifold MarketsKYC yokDoğrulanmış sonuçlanma verisiOrta düzey kalibreGüncel topluluk tahminiThird World War 51%
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20
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multiple choice
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Play-money forecasting platform
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Tahmin
7g Değişim
0.0 pts
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16 saat önce güncellendi
Guncelligini yitirmis9 Nis 24 13:44 UTC1 Oca 01 04:59 UTC
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Will the United States break out into a civil war first? Or will a the named outcome break out first?
- Resolves to whichever is considered to happen first, according to things like news outlets, Wikipedia, other bets, etc. For example, if https://manifold.markets/IsaacKing/will-there-be-a-civil-war-in-the-un resolves to Yes first, I would most likely resolve this to Yes for Civil War 2:
- "Civil War" means any large scale military action taken by some part of the country against some other part of the country.
- This could be military vs. civilian, military vs. military, or civilian vs. civilian.
- Actual violence must be involved, not just threats. "Large scale" means that it takes place in more than one city and each side has the support of a significant fraction of the country.
Açık piyasalar
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Sık sorulan sorular
- Which will happen first, Civil War 2 or World War 3? için güncel oranlar nedir?
- Manifold Markets, 8 Eylül 2026 itibarıyla Third World War için 51% fiyatlıyor.
- Which will happen first, Civil War 2 or World War 3? ne zaman sonuçlanacak?
- Which will happen first, Civil War 2 or World War 3? için öngörülen sonuçlanma tarihi 1 Ocak 2101.
- Which will happen first, Civil War 2 or World War 3? nasıl sonuçlandırılıyor?
- Manifold Markets bu piyasayı şu şekilde sonuçlandırır: Will the United States break out into a civil war first? Or will a the named outcome break out first?