Güncel topluluk tahmini
Any model announced before 2034 86.6%51 seçenek arasında lider
Tahminciler
177
Soru türü
multiple choice
Yöntem
Play-money forecasting platform
Kaynak türü
Tahmin
7g Değişim
-1.7 pts
Piyasa verileri
10 dakika önce güncellendi
1 Oca 25 23:47 UTC1 Oca 01 07:59 UTC
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Bağlam için ilgili sorular; eşdeğer sözleşmelerin karşılaştırması değildir.
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KalshiKurallar
Which of these models will beat me at chess once released? Resolves YES if they win, NO if I win, and 50% for a draw.
- I'm rated about 1900 FIDE.
- When each of these models are released, I'll play a game of chess with them.
- On each move, I'll provide them with the game state in PGN and FEN notation.
- If the models make three illegal moves, they lose.
- Responses like Nbd2 vs. Nd2 will not count towards this.
Açık piyasalar
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KALSHIHouston vs Philadelphia
- Houston+49.0pt93%
- Philadelphia-50.0pt7%
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KALSHIUS Open Men's Singles Winner
- Carlos Alcaraz+1.0pt58%
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KALSHIBrace vs Sorribes Tormo
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KALSHI2027 Pro Football Champion
- Los Angeles R+1.0pt13.9%
- Buffalo6.6%
- Baltimore5.7%
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Sık sorulan sorular
- Which of these Language Models will beat me at chess? için güncel oranlar nedir?
- Manifold Markets, 9 Eylül 2026 itibarıyla Any model announced before 2034 için 87% fiyatlıyor.
- Which of these Language Models will beat me at chess? ne zaman sonuçlanacak?
- Which of these Language Models will beat me at chess? için öngörülen sonuçlanma tarihi 1 Ocak 2101.
- Which of these Language Models will beat me at chess? nasıl sonuçlandırılıyor?
- Manifold Markets bu piyasayı şu şekilde sonuçlandırır: Which of these models will beat me at chess once released? Resolves YES if they win, NO if I win, and 50% for a draw.