Güncel topluluk tahmini
United States of America 52.7%20 seçenek arasında lider
Tahminciler
84
Soru türü
multiple choice
Yöntem
Play-money forecasting platform
Kaynak türü
Tahmin
7g Değişim
0.0 pts
Piyasa verileri
17 saat önce güncellendi
Guncelligini yitirmis10 Oca 24 10:07 UTC31 Eki 32 18:29 UTC
Trendler
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İlgili Piyasalar
Bağlam için ilgili sorular; eşdeğer sözleşmelerin karşılaştırması değildir.
Artemis III flown with a crewed landing? x Will China land a person on the Moon before the US can return to the Moon?
Manifold MarketsWill China land a person on the Moon before the US can return to the Moon?
Manifold MarketsOn which year will China first land a person on the Moon?
Manifold MarketsTrump Space Academy begins training by June 30, 2027?
PolymarketSpaceX (SPCX) Up or Down - Daily
LimitlessWhich company has the best AI model end of September?
PolymarketKurallar
If there's a mission with more than 1 person from more than 1 country, the market will consider which of them first step on the surface of our moon.
- If that person holds multiple countries' citizenship, then it resolves to whatever country's space organization sent that person.
- If even that is ambiguous, in case of a joint/collaborative effort, then it resolves to the birth country of that person.
- By landing, it is meant that the person is alive after landing.
- It will not count if there's an explosion upon touchdown and the person dies, for example.
- It does not have to be a perfect landing.
Açık piyasalar
SpaceLIMITLESSSpaceX (SPCX) Up or Down - Daily
- No83.4%
- Yes16.6%
- Toplam Hacim
- ₺17,2 Mn
- 24s Hacim
- ₺15,8 Mn
POLYMARKETWhich company has the best AI model end of September?
- Anthropic+0.2pt97%
- Google-0.3pt2%
- OpenAI-0.8pt1%
+18 daha fazla sonuç
- Toplam Hacim
- ₺158,4 Mn
- 24s Hacim
- ₺2,7 Mn
KALSHIWhen will Tesla and SpaceX merge?
- Before 2028-1.0pt64%
- Before May 1, 2027+1.0pt54%
- Before Apr 1, 202744%
+8 daha fazla sonuç
- Toplam Hacim
- ₺53,1 Mn
POLYMARKETLargest IPO by market cap in 2026?
- Anthropic+4.3pt51%
- SpaceX-4.5pt48%
- OpenAI+0.1pt1%
+9 daha fazla sonuç
POLYMARKETWill the Doge-1 Lunar Mission launch by which date?
- 202754.1%
- June 30, 2027-0.5pt43.4%
- 2026-0.4pt2.5%
- Toplam Hacim
POLYMARKETWhich company has the best AI model end of October?
- Anthropic+3.5pt85.2%
- Google-2.0pt6.9%
- OpenAI-1.8pt5.9%
+18 daha fazla sonuç
- AI lab announces another Millennium Prize solution by which date?
- How many launches will SpaceX have in September?
- Which Millennium Prize Problem will AI solve next?
- How many more Millennium Prize Problems will AI solve in 2026?
- Third-best Text Arena Math AI Lab end of September?
- SpaceX Starship Flight Test 14
- Third-best AI Lab end of September?
- Which company has the best Image Edit AI end of October?
- SpaceX Starship 14th launch?
Sık sorulan sorular
- Which country would land the next person on the moon? için güncel oranlar nedir?
- Manifold Markets, 13 Eylül 2026 itibarıyla United States of America için 53% fiyatlıyor.
- Which country would land the next person on the moon? ne zaman sonuçlanacak?
- Which country would land the next person on the moon? için öngörülen sonuçlanma tarihi 31 Ekim 2032.
- Which country would land the next person on the moon? nasıl sonuçlandırılıyor?
- Manifold Markets bu piyasayı şu şekilde sonuçlandırır: If there's a mission with more than 1 person from more than 1 country, the market will consider which of them first step on the surface of our moon.