Manifold MarketsKYC yokDoğrulanmış sonuçlanma verisiOrta düzey kalibreGüncel topluluk tahmini
On Earth 99%87 seçenek arasında lider
Tahminciler
343
Soru türü
multiple choice
Yöntem
Play-money forecasting platform
Kaynak türü
Tahmin
7g Değişim
0.0 pts
Piyasa verileri
4 saat önce güncellendi
Guncelligini yitirmis4 Oca 25 15:15 UTC1 Oca 45 22:59 UTC
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Bağlam için ilgili sorular; eşdeğer sözleşmelerin karşılaştırması değildir.
Where will Trump and Putin meet next in 2026?
PolymarketWhere will Trump and Putin next meet?
KalshiWill Donald Trump die or become seriously ill before the end of his term?
Manifold MarketsWill Donald Trump Die before 2027
Manifold MarketsWhen will Donald Trump die?
Manifold MarketsHeidi Overton confirmed as FDA Commissioner by which date?
PolymarketKurallar
Background Donald Trump was born on June 14, 1946, making him 77 years old.
- He is currently the oldest major party nominee for president in U.S. history.
- According to CDC data, the average life expectancy for a 77-year-old American male is approximately 9.4 additional years.
- Resolution Criteria This market will resolve based on the year of Donald Trump's death as reported by multiple reputable news sources.
- If Trump dies during a particular year listed in the options, that option will resolve to YES and all others to NO.
- The market will resolve N/A if: