Manifold MarketsKYC yokDoğrulanmış sonuçlanma verisiOrta düzey kalibreGüncel topluluk tahminiBefore 2037 82.8%12 seçenek arasında lider
Tahminciler
72
Soru türü
multiple choice
Yöntem
Play-money forecasting platform
Kaynak türü
Tahmin
7g Değişim
-2.2 pts
Piyasa verileri
14 saat önce güncellendi
Guncelligini yitirmis30 Ağu 25 01:51 UTC22 Oca 36 00:37 UTC
Trendler
0%
İlgili Piyasalar
Bağlam için ilgili sorular; eşdeğer sözleşmelerin karşılaştırması değildir.
Will Donald Trump die or become seriously ill before the end of his term?
Manifold MarketsWill Donald Trump Die before 2027
Manifold MarketsWill Donald Trump die before Joe Biden?
Manifold MarketsWill Donald Trump attend UFC 331?
KalshiDonald Trump announces departure as President? (Excluding death)
KalshiWill Donald Trump issue a public apology?
KalshiKurallar
This is a cumulative probability market.
- Therefore, for example, if Trump dies in 2027, "the named outcome" and "the named outcome" resolve NO, and "the named outcome", "the named outcome", etc. will all resolve YES.
- Answers will resolve early when time runs out and Trump has not yet died.
- For example, "the named outcome" will resolve NO if Trump has not died and 2026 has begun.
- There may be a delay before resolution to confirm that Trump has not died.
Açık piyasalar
US Politics
POLYMARKETPresidential Election Winner 2028
- JD Vance-0.5pt24%
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez13%
- Jon Ossoff12%
+49 daha fazla sonuç
- Toplam Hacim
- ₺34,1 Mr
- 24s Hacim
- ₺39,3 Mn
POLYMARKETRepublican Presidential Nominee 2028
- J.D. Vance50%
- Marco Rubio-0.1pt20%
- Tucker Carlson3%
+39 daha fazla sonuç
- Toplam Hacim
- ₺34 Mr
POLYMARKET$LAPTOP FDV above ___ one day after launch?
- $10M-0.8pt96%
- $25M-1.0pt94%
- $50M-4.0pt87%
+4 daha fazla sonuç
POLYMARKETUS announces end of Iranian blockade by which date?
- December 31-3.4pt47.8%
- October 31-1.0pt29.6%
- September 30-4.0pt12.2%
+17 daha fazla sonuç
KALSHIWhich party will win the U.S. House?
- Democratic Party84%
- Republican Party-1.0pt16%
- Toplam Hacim
- ₺1,4 Mr
- 24s Hacim
- ₺16,1 Mn
KALSHI2028 Republican presidential nominee
- J.D. Vance44.5%
- Marco Rubio20.8%
- Ron DeSantis-0.1pt4%
+35 daha fazla sonuç
- Toplam Hacim
- ₺3,1 Mr
- 24s Hacim
- ₺15,1 Mn
- Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?
- New Hampshire Democratic Senate nominee?
- Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028
- Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?
- Balance of Power: 2026 Midterms
- 2026 Midterms: Congress Balance of Power?
- Which party will win the House in 2026?
- New Hampshire Republican Senate nominee?
- Rhode Island Democratic Governor nominee?
- Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
- IA-01 House winner?
Sık sorulan sorular
- When will Donald Trump die? için güncel oranlar nedir?
- Manifold Markets, 8 Eylül 2026 itibarıyla Before 2037 için 83% fiyatlıyor.
- When will Donald Trump die? ne zaman sonuçlanacak?
- When will Donald Trump die? için öngörülen sonuçlanma tarihi 22 Ocak 2036.
- When will Donald Trump die? nasıl sonuçlandırılıyor?
- Manifold Markets bu piyasayı şu şekilde sonuçlandırır: This is a cumulative probability market.