Güncel topluluk tahmini
Before Jan 2027 55.4%7 seçenek arasında lider
Tahminciler
4
Soru türü
multiple choice
Yöntem
Play-money forecasting platform
Kaynak türü
Tahmin
7g Değişim
0.0 pts
Piyasa verileri
5 dakika önce güncellendi
15 Ara 25 14:16 UTC31 Ara 26 23:59 UTC
Trendler
0%
0%
0%
0%
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KalshiKurallar
Resolution criteria
- The market resolves YES if FSD (Supervised) is generally available to EU customers in a majority of EU member states (≥14/27), via Tesla’s normal purchase/subscription flow, with a substantially similar feature set to the contemporaneous U.S. “FSD (Supervised)” release.
- “Generally available” excludes employee-only access, invitation-only programs, or small pilots limited to a city/region or a tiny capped fleet.
- The market resolves NO otherwise (including if only “Enhanced Autopilot”-style features are available).
- Primary source for resolution: Tesla release notes / official Tesla communications for EU rollout, supplemented by reputable reporting if needed.
- Feel free to comment for improving the criteria.
Açık piyasalar
EuropePOLYMARKETWhich party will gain most seats in Russian Parliamentary Election?
- United Russia (ER)+5.0pt75%
- New People (NL)-4.1pt21%
- Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR)-1.1pt3%
+5 daha fazla sonuç
- Toplam Hacim
- ₺1,2 Mr
- 24s Hacim
- ₺26,5 Mn
POLYMARKETNext French Presidential Election
- Marine Le Pen+0.3pt36.4%
- Édouard Philippe+2.0pt31.3%
- Jean-Luc Mélenchon-1.0pt12.1%
+38 daha fazla sonuç
POLYMARKETFriedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027?
- No-2.0pt84.2%
- Yes+2.0pt15.8%
- Toplam Hacim
- ₺44,2 Mn
- 24s Hacim
- ₺5,9 Mn
POLYMARKETNext Prime Minister of Sweden
- Magdalena Andersson+1.0pt77.5%
- Ulf Kristersson-1.0pt20.6%
- Jimmie Åkesson-0.5pt1%
+7 daha fazla sonuç
POLYMARKETECB Interest Rates: September 2026
- 25 bps increase-0.1pt100%
- 50+ bps decrease0%
- 25 bps decrease0%
+2 daha fazla sonuç
- Toplam Hacim
POLYMARKETNATO x Russia military clash by which date?
- December 31+0.5pt22%
- October 31+1.0pt10%
- December 31, 2025-0.1pt0%
+3 daha fazla sonuç
- Berlin State Election Winner
- Sweden Parliamentary Election Winner
- Sweden Parliamentary Election: M Vote Share?
- Sweden Parliamentary Election: V Vote Share?
- Mecklenburg-Vorpommern Parliamentary Election Winner
- Nothing Ever Happens: 2026
- Sweden Parliamentary Election: 4th Place
- Sweden Parliamentary Election: Liberals Win Seats?
- Sweden Parliamentary Election: 2nd Place
- Sweden Parliamentary Election: 5th Place
Sık sorulan sorular
- When will Tesla FSD (supervised) be widely available in the EU? için güncel oranlar nedir?
- Manifold Markets, 8 Eylül 2026 itibarıyla Before Jan 2027 için 55% fiyatlıyor.
- When will Tesla FSD (supervised) be widely available in the EU? ne zaman sonuçlanacak?
- When will Tesla FSD (supervised) be widely available in the EU? için öngörülen sonuçlanma tarihi 31 Aralık 2026.
- When will Tesla FSD (supervised) be widely available in the EU? nasıl sonuçlandırılıyor?
- Manifold Markets bu piyasayı şu şekilde sonuçlandırır: Resolution criteria