Manifold MarketsKYC yokDoğrulanmış sonuçlanma verisiOrta düzey kalibreVeri kalitesi uyarısıKaynak verileri bozulmuş
26 Eki 2026 04:28 UTC itibarıyla veriler · politika pm-quality-4
Güncel topluluk tahminiHayır 87.2%
Tahminciler
9
Soru türü
binary
Yöntem
Play-money forecasting platform
Kaynak türü
Tahmin
Piyasa verileri
4 saat önce güncellendi
Guncelligini yitirmis25 Haz 25 11:08 UTC31 Ara 26 23:59 UTC
Trendler
İlgili Piyasalar
Bağlam için ilgili sorular; eşdeğer sözleşmelerin karşılaştırması değildir.
Stephen Casper: by EOY2026, a system with comparable cyber capabilities to Mythos will be widely available?
Manifold MarketsCar with no physical side mirrors widely available in the EU before 2027
Manifold MarketsWhen will Tesla FSD (supervised) be widely available in the EU?
Manifold MarketsCar with no physical side mirrors widely available in the US before 2027
Manifold MarketsBTC price on Oct 26, 2026 at 5pm EDT?
KalshiWhat price will Bitcoin hit in October?
PolymarketKurallar
Resolution criteria
- This market will resolve to "Yes" if, by December 31, 2026, loans collateralized by Polymarket positions are widely available to the public. "Widely available" means that retail traders can receive these loans as an off-the-shelf product, without bespoke agreements.