When will it be possible to spend $10 million or less to edit your genes to require less sleep?
InflationOne-OffRegülasyonHealth & MedicineCrime & JusticeManifold MarketsKYC yokDoğrulanmış sonuçlanma verisiOrta düzey kalibreGüncel topluluk tahmini2048-2054 15%10 seçenek arasında lider
Tahminciler
4
Soru türü
multiple choice
Yöntem
Play-money forecasting platform
Kaynak türü
Tahmin
7g Değişim
0.0 pts
Piyasa verileri
23 saat önce güncellendi
Guncelligini yitirmis12 Ağu 26 00:16 UTC1 Oca 00 04:59 UTC
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PolymarketKurallar
Resolution criteria
- This market will resolve to the date on which a gene-editing therapy designed to safely and permanently reduce human sleep requirements becomes commercially or clinically available to consumers for a total cost of $10 million USD or less (including the therapeutic agents and the required medical procedure).
- To satisfy the resolution criteria, the therapy must meet the following conditions:
- Target Mechanism: The therapy must target genetic pathways scientifically associated with sleep duration or sleep efficiency (such as DEC2, ADRB1, NPSR1, GRM1, or equivalent sleep-regulating genes).
- Availability: The treatment must be legally accessible to paying patients, either via approval from a major regulatory body (e.g., the US FDA or EMA) or through a verified, legally operating commercial clinic (including medical tourism).
- Cost: The total retail or out-of-pocket price for a single patient must be publicly documented as $10 million USD or less (adjusted for inflation from 2026).
Sık sorulan sorular
- When will it be possible to spend $10 million or less to edit your genes to require less sleep? için güncel oranlar nedir?
- Manifold Markets, 8 Eylül 2026 itibarıyla 2048-2054 için 15% fiyatlıyor.
- When will it be possible to spend $10 million or less to edit your genes to require less sleep? ne zaman sonuçlanacak?
- When will it be possible to spend $10 million or less to edit your genes to require less sleep? için öngörülen sonuçlanma tarihi 1 Ocak 2100.
- When will it be possible to spend $10 million or less to edit your genes to require less sleep? nasıl sonuçlandırılıyor?
- Manifold Markets bu piyasayı şu şekilde sonuçlandırır: Resolution criteria