When will Bayesian reveal a math problem he solved in Sept.? için güncel oranlar nedir?

Manifold Markets, 25 Ekim 2026 itibarıyla Not in 2026 için 22.5% fiyatlıyor.

When will Bayesian reveal a math problem he solved in Sept.? ne zaman sonuçlanacak?

When will Bayesian reveal a math problem he solved in Sept.? için öngörülen sonuçlanma tarihi 1 Ocak 2027.

Sanal işlem yap

When will Bayesian reveal a math problem he solved in Sept.?

MonthlyBilim2ay

Manifold MarketsKYC yokDoğrulanmış sonuçlanma verisiOrta düzey kalibre

Güncel topluluk tahmini

Not in 2026 22.5%

6 seçenek arasında lider

Tahminciler

Soru türü

multiple choice

Yöntem

Play-money forecasting platform

Kaynak türü

Tahmin

7g Değişim

-12.3 pts

Piyasa verileri

11 saat önce güncellendi

Guncelligini yitirmis

10 Eki 26 20:17 UTC1 Oca 27 06:00 UTC

Trendler

Sonuç24sOlasılık

Kurallar

@Bayesian resolved @/Bayesian/will-i-solve-an-unsolved-math-probl-5ZR0n0LOlE on Sept. 25, 2026 (earning himself Ṁ19,822) but has not yet revealed what problem(s) he solved.

This market will resolve based on the day he names at least one problem he solved in a comment on that market.
If we reach Jan 1, 2027 without an answer, it will resolve "the named outcome."
Zvi's house rules apply: https://www.lesswrong.com/posts/ge3Jf5Hnon8wq4xqT/zvi-s-manifold-markets-house-rules

Bu piyasayla ilgili veri sorunu bildir

When will Bayesian reveal a math problem he solved in Sept.?

When will Bayesian reveal a math problem he solved in Sept.?

Açık piyasalar

Will the US confirm that aliens exist by which date?

Will the U.S. confirm that aliens exist?

Where will 2026 rank among the hottest years on record?

What will the biggest earthquake be on October 25, 2026?

Will 2026 be the hottest year ever?

What will the biggest earthquake be on October 26, 2026?

Sık sorulan sorular

Bu piyasayı kodda veya bir yapay zeka ajanında kullanın

Açık piyasalar

Will the US confirm that aliens exist by which date?

Will the U.S. confirm that aliens exist?

Where will 2026 rank among the hottest years on record?

What will the biggest earthquake be on October 25, 2026?

Will 2026 be the hottest year ever?

What will the biggest earthquake be on October 26, 2026?