What will happen to Germany if AfD controlled Chancellorship before 2031?
PolitikaOne-OffJeopolitikRusya / UkraynaAvrupaSeçimHava Durumu4yManifold MarketsKYC yokDoğrulanmış sonuçlanma verisiOrta düzey kalibreGüncel topluluk tahminiGermany goes back to 1933 era 50%14 seçenek arasında lider
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multiple choice
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Play-money forecasting platform
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Tahmin
7g Değişim
0.0 pts
Piyasa verileri
8 saat önce güncellendi
Guncelligini yitirmis6 Eki 26 14:46 UTC31 Ara 30 11:00 UTC
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Resolution criteria
- This is a conditional market.
- If no member of the Alternative for Germany (AfD) party is sworn in as the Chancellor of Germany (Bundeskanzler) at any point prior to January 1, 2031, this entire market and all of its individual options will resolve to N/A. If an AfD member does become Chancellor before 2031, the individual options will resolve to YES if the specified event is enacted, officially implemented, or occurs during their tenure (or within one year of their tenure, provided it is still before January 1, 2031).
- Otherwise, they will resolve to NO.
- Because this market allows anyone to add answers (addAnswersMode: ANYONE), newly added options must be resolved under the same conditional rules.
