Which Russian regions will hold referendums and declare independence from the Russian Federation by 2040?
PolitikaOne-OffAvrupaABD SiyasetiRusya / UkraynaJeopolitikHava DurumuEmtia3yManifold MarketsKYC yokDoğrulanmış sonuçlanma verisiOrta düzey kalibreGüncel topluluk tahminiTuva 45.2%13 seçenek arasında lider
Tahminciler
12
Soru türü
multiple choice
Yöntem
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Kaynak türü
Tahmin
7g Değişim
0.0 pts
Piyasa verileri
12 saat önce güncellendi
Guncelligini yitirmis17 Eki 25 10:23 UTC30 Ara 29 23:59 UTC
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Resolution criteria
- An option resolves to YES if, for that region, all three of the following occur on or before 31 December 2039:
- A formal independence referendum is held.
- Defined as a formal vote organized in-person or online by a recognized local authority, an established exile government, or a clearly significant grassroots movement.
- The referendum must pose the explicit question of secession and full sovereignty from the Russian Federation.
- A majority of valid votes cast must be “Yes.”