Will the Russian Federation break up into multiple independent states before 2030
One-OffJeopolitikRusya / Ukrayna3y
Manifold MarketsKYC yokDoğrulanmış sonuçlanma verisiOrta düzey kalibreVeri kalitesi uyarısıKaynak verileri bozulmuş
26 Eki 2026 08:04 UTC itibarıyla veriler · politika pm-quality-4
Güncel topluluk tahmini
Hayır 90%
Hayır 90%Tahminciler
47
Soru türü
binary
Yöntem
Play-money forecasting platform
Kaynak türü
Tahmin
Piyasa verileri
7 saat önce güncellendi
Guncelligini yitirmis18 Oca 23 12:13 UTC1 Oca 30 12:59 UTC
Trendler
İlgili Piyasalar
Bağlam için ilgili sorular; eşdeğer sözleşmelerin karşılaştırması değildir.
Which Russian regions will hold referendums and declare independence from the Russian Federation by 2040?
Manifold MarketsWill any of the 21 republics of Russia secede from the Russian Federation before 2030
Manifold MarketsWill Ukraine invade any additional "minor constituent" (check description) of the Russian Federation before 2030-1-1?
Manifold MarketsWill Bashkortostan secede from the Russian Federation before the end of 2028?
Manifold MarketsNATO x Russia military clash by which date?
PolymarketWill Russia target Kyiv on?
PolymarketKurallar
For clarity, if a part of Russia secedes as an independent state this would resolve positively.
- If Crimea went back to Ukraine that would not be enough.
- If Crimea became an independent country, that would.