Veri kalitesi uyarısıEski veriler
25 Tem 2026 04:00 UTC itibarıyla veriler · politika pm-quality-2
Güncel topluluk tahmini
Republican president, <2% 23.2%-4.5%8 seçenek arasında lider
Tahminciler
32
Soru türü
multiple choice
Yöntem
Play-money forecasting platform
Kaynak türü
Tahmin
Piyasa verileri
dün guncellendi
Guncelligini yitirmis9 Tem 24 16:051 Oca 29 22:59
Trendler
Yalnızca sanal bakiye, gerçek para yokYatırım tavsiyesi değildir
Seçilen sonuç
Republican president, <2%23%
Hacim trendi
$3.9k24 Tem2g veri25 Tem
Makroya Duyarlı Varlıklar
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This market will resolve to the answer with the combination of the party of the president elected in the 2024 presidential elections and the average real GDP growth rate for the years 2025, 2026, 2027, and 2028.
- If a third-party candidate wins the 2024 presidential election, this market will be canceled.
- Average GDP growth will be calculated as the geometric mean of annual inflation-adjusted GDP growth for each of the four years, as reported by Our World in Data, or another broadly reliable source if the data cannot be obtained via Our World in Data.
- I expect the data to be available at https://ourworldindata.org/grapher/real-gdp-growth?tab=chart&time=2025..2028&country=~USA, but if Our World in Data changes the format of their URLs the data may be found at a different URL.
- My original intent was to resolve the answers of the losing party to NO after the election; but I have been informed that it is not possible in a dependent multiple choice market like this one to resolve only some of the answers.
- Know that the Democrat president answers will be NO when this market resolves.