What proportion of people born in the year X will still be alive in the year 3000?
One-OffBilimSociety & Culture
Manifold MarketsKYC yokDoğrulanmış sonuçlanma verisiOrta düzey kalibreGüncel topluluk tahmini
Born in 2030 21.9%9 seçenek arasında lider
Tahminciler
24
Soru türü
multiple choice
Yöntem
Play-money forecasting platform
Kaynak türü
Tahmin
7g Değişim
0.0 pts
Piyasa verileri
1 saat önce güncellendi
Gecikmeli2 Oca 24 16:47 UTC1 Oca 00 22:59 UTC
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Each answer resolves to PROB, where PROB is the proportion of people that were born in the specified year that are still alive on 1 Jan 3000.
- They don't have to be basic unmodified humans, but there should be a wide agreement that yeah, that person is still alive in some form.
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Sık sorulan sorular
- What proportion of people born in the year X will still be alive in the year 3000? için güncel oranlar nedir?
- Manifold Markets, 9 Eylül 2026 itibarıyla Born in 2030 için 22% fiyatlıyor.
- What proportion of people born in the year X will still be alive in the year 3000? ne zaman sonuçlanacak?
- What proportion of people born in the year X will still be alive in the year 3000? için öngörülen sonuçlanma tarihi 1 Ocak 3000.
- What proportion of people born in the year X will still be alive in the year 3000? nasıl sonuçlandırılıyor?
- Manifold Markets bu piyasayı şu şekilde sonuçlandırır: Each answer resolves to PROB, where PROB is the proportion of people that were born in the specified year that are still alive on 1 Jan 3000.