What lasting peace deal will come first? Russia's or Iran's?
JeopolitikOne-OffMiddle EastRussia / Ukraine3ayManifold MarketsKYC yokDoğrulanmış sonuçlanma verisiOrta düzey kalibreGüncel topluluk tahminiHayır 71.2%
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8
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binary
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Play-money forecasting platform
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Piyasa verileri
8 saat önce güncellendi
Guncelligini yitirmis29 Ağu 26 08:29 UTC30 Ara 26 23:59 UTC
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İlgili Piyasalar
Bağlam için ilgili sorular; eşdeğer sözleşmelerin karşılaştırması değildir.
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?
PolymarketUkraine signs peace deal with Russia by October 31?
PolymarketWhat will be included in the Iran-US peace deal?
Manifold MarketsUS x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31 ? [Not Polymarket]
Manifold MarketsRussia-Ukraine ceasefire or peace deal to be reached by the end of 2026?
FutuurWill the next round of US-Iran peace talks result in a cease-fire lasting at least 30 days?
Manifold MarketsKurallar
This market resolves to YES if a formal, comprehensive peace agreement ending the armed conflict between Russia and Ukraine is signed by both belligerents and successfully remains in effect for 180 consecutive calendar days before a formal, comprehensive peace agreement ending the conflict involving Iran achieves the same.
- This market resolves to NO if a formal, comprehensive peace agreement ending the conflict involving Iran is signed by the required belligerents and successfully remains in effect for 180 consecutive calendar days before a formal, comprehensive peace agreement between Russia and Ukraine achieves the same.
- Signatory & Conflict Scope
- Russia–Ukraine: Must be signed by the executive leadership or authorized plenipotentiaries of both Russia and Ukraine.
- Iran Conflict: Must be signed by the executive leadership or authorized plenipotentiaries of Iran AND either (a) the United States, (b) Israel, or (c) both.
- Signing with one state satisfies the condition provided all hostilities between Iran and that signatory state formally terminate under the treaty terms.
Açık piyasalar
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+5 daha fazla sonuç
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- December 31-3.9pt47.8%
- October 31-3.0pt29.2%
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+17 daha fazla sonuç
POLYMARKETUS x Iran Effective Ceasefire begins by...? (2 week pause)
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- September 18-10.0pt67%
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+2 daha fazla sonuç
POLYMARKETKharg Island no longer under Iranian control by which date?
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POLYMARKETIsrael x Iran ceasefire continues through which date?
- July 18+0.3pt100%
- July 20+0.1pt100%
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+20 daha fazla sonuç
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- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?
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Sık sorulan sorular
- What lasting peace deal will come first? Russia's or Iran's? için güncel oranlar nedir?
- Manifold Markets, 8 Eylül 2026 itibarıyla No için 71% fiyatlıyor.
- What lasting peace deal will come first? Russia's or Iran's? ne zaman sonuçlanacak?
- What lasting peace deal will come first? Russia's or Iran's? için öngörülen sonuçlanma tarihi 30 Aralık 2026.
- What lasting peace deal will come first? Russia's or Iran's? nasıl sonuçlandırılıyor?
- Manifold Markets bu piyasayı şu şekilde sonuçlandırır: This market resolves to YES if a formal, comprehensive peace agreement ending the armed conflict between Russia and Ukraine is signed by both belligerents and successfully remains in effect for 180 consecutive calendar days before a formal, comprehensive peace agreement ending the conflict involving Iran achieves the same.