Will the next round of US-Iran peace talks result in a cease-fire lasting at least 30 days?
JeopolitikOne-OffMiddle East3ayManifold MarketsKYC yokDoğrulanmış sonuçlanma verisiOrta düzey kalibreGüncel topluluk tahminiHayır 59.6%
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6
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binary
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5 saat önce güncellendi
Guncelligini yitirmis12 Ağu 26 16:29 UTC31 Ara 26 23:59 UTC
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Bağlam için ilgili sorular; eşdeğer sözleşmelerin karşılaştırması değildir.
Will the next round of US-Iran peace talks result in a cease-fire lasting at least 30 days?
Manifold MarketsNext round of US-Iran peace talks by which date?
PolymarketWho will attend a round of US-Iran peace talks by December 31?
PolymarketNext round of US-Iran peace talks by which date?
LimitlessWho will attend a round of US-Iran peace talks by December 31?
Limitless[PROP BETS] New US-Iran Peace Talks
Manifold MarketsKurallar
Resolution criteria
- This market resolves to YES if the first round of official direct or indirect diplomatic negotiations between the United States and Iran (including mediated talks via third parties like Oman, Qatar, or Pakistan) occurring on or after August 3, 2026, results in a ceasefire agreement that successfully lasts for at least 30 consecutive days.
- Otherwise, this market resolves to NO.
- Detailed Rules for Resolution:
- Eligible Negotiations: The negotiations must be widely recognized by major international media outlets as official diplomatic efforts (whether direct or indirect/mediated) between representatives of the U.S. and Iran aimed at de-escalation, conflict resolution, or establishing a truce.
- Ceasefire Definition: The negotiations must result in a mutually agreed ceasefire or pause in hostilities.
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Sık sorulan sorular
- Will the next round of US-Iran peace talks result in a cease-fire lasting at least 30 days? için güncel oranlar nedir?
- Manifold Markets, 8 Eylül 2026 itibarıyla No için 60% fiyatlıyor.
- Will the next round of US-Iran peace talks result in a cease-fire lasting at least 30 days? ne zaman sonuçlanacak?
- Will the next round of US-Iran peace talks result in a cease-fire lasting at least 30 days? için öngörülen sonuçlanma tarihi 31 Aralık 2026.
- Will the next round of US-Iran peace talks result in a cease-fire lasting at least 30 days? nasıl sonuçlandırılıyor?
- Manifold Markets bu piyasayı şu şekilde sonuçlandırır: Resolution criteria