What is the risk-free interest rate on Manifold, now that loans are ~~gone~~ back?
FedOne-OffMakro ve Ekonomi4y
Manifold MarketsKYC yokDoğrulanmış sonuçlanma verisiOrta düzey kalibreGüncel topluluk tahmini
Resolves No at end of 2026 1%6 seçenek arasında lider
Resolves No at end of 2026 1%Tahminciler
32
Soru türü
multiple choice
Yöntem
Play-money forecasting platform
Kaynak türü
Tahmin
7g Değişim
0.0 pts
Piyasa verileri
8 saat önce güncellendi
Guncelligini yitirmis6 Tem 24 18:53 UTC1 Oca 31 07:59 UTC
Trendler
Makroya Duyarlı Varlıklar
İlgili Piyasalar
Bağlam için ilgili sorular; eşdeğer sözleşmelerin karşılaştırması değildir.
What's the risk-free interest rate until 2028 on Manifold Markets?
Manifold MarketsThis question will resolve NO on January 1, 2050 (risk free interest rate question)
Manifold MarketsWhat is the risk-free interest rate for markets with ridiculously distant resolution dates?
Manifold MarketsWill the Milky Way still exist in 2030? [long-term interest rate market]
Manifold MarketsNumber of FOMC meetings with FED interest rate cuts in the US in 2026
FutuurUS basic interest rate at the end of 2026
FutuurKurallar
These markets resolve No on popular market resolution dates, so the percentage of these markets show the opportunity cost of money for markets resolving on those dates.
- There are existing markets for this already, but they were created while Manifold was giving loans for long term markets, which caused interest rates to be much lower.
- And there is no incentive to correct them by buying Yes unless you think other traders will need to liquidate their positions to free up capital, so they do not reflect the current risk-free interest rate.
