Manifold MarketsKYC yokDoğrulanmış sonuçlanma verisiOrta düzey kalibreGüncel topluluk tahminiPermanently occupy Gaza like they’re occupying the West Bank 61.2%6 seçenek arasında lider
Tahminciler
41
Soru türü
multiple choice
Yöntem
Play-money forecasting platform
Kaynak türü
Tahmin
7g Değişim
0.0 pts
Piyasa verileri
7 saat önce güncellendi
Guncelligini yitirmis31 Eki 23 16:20 UTC28 Ara 26 21:59 UTC
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PolymarketKurallar
Inspired by Scott:
- https://www.astralcodexten.com/p/mantic-monday-103023
- "I can’t find any markets on the Middle East topic I’m actually interested in, which is Israel’s medium-term plan.
- Will they the named outcome? the named outcome? the named outcome? These all seem like bad options, but they’re very different bad options, and I haven’t seen much speculation about which is most likely."
- Close date may be extended if it seems like the situation hasn't settled down.
- Update 2024-10-12 (PST): The market will resolve as 'Permanently occupy Gaza like they're occupying the West Bank' unless the creator is convinced otherwise.
Açık piyasalar
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- United Russia (ER)+4.0pt74%
- New People (NL)-3.3pt22%
- Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR)-1.0pt3%
+5 daha fazla sonuç
- Toplam Hacim
- ₺1,3 Mr
- 24s Hacim
- ₺29,5 Mn
POLYMARKETUS announces end of Iranian blockade by which date?
- December 31-3.9pt47.8%
- October 31-3.0pt29.2%
- September 30-4.0pt12.4%
+17 daha fazla sonuç
POLYMARKETUS x Iran Effective Ceasefire begins by...? (2 week pause)
- September 30-5.0pt74%
- September 18-10.0pt67%
- September 11-2.5pt63%
+2 daha fazla sonuç
POLYMARKETKharg Island no longer under Iranian control by which date?
- December 317%
- September 30+0.3pt1%
- July 310%
+7 daha fazla sonuç
- Toplam Hacim
POLYMARKETIsrael x Iran ceasefire continues through which date?
- July 18+0.3pt100%
- July 20+0.1pt100%
- July 22+0.5pt100%
+20 daha fazla sonuç
POLYMARKETWill China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?
- No-0.1pt96%
- Yes+0.1pt4%
- Toplam Hacim
- ₺2 Mr
- 24s Hacim
- ₺5,3 Mn
- Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
- Nobel Peace Prize Winner 2026
- US-Iran nuclear deal?
- Russia x Ukraine peace talks by which date?
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?
- Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by which date?
- Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by which date?
- Iran full airspace closure by which date?
- Will the Iranian regime fall by September 30?
- Iran-Oman Hormuz Management Agreement by which date?
Sık sorulan sorular
- What is Israel’s medium-term plan (what will end up happening?)? için güncel oranlar nedir?
- Manifold Markets, 8 Eylül 2026 itibarıyla Permanently occupy Gaza like they’re occupying the West Bank için 61% fiyatlıyor.
- What is Israel’s medium-term plan (what will end up happening?)? ne zaman sonuçlanacak?
- What is Israel’s medium-term plan (what will end up happening?)? için öngörülen sonuçlanma tarihi 28 Aralık 2026.
- What is Israel’s medium-term plan (what will end up happening?)? nasıl sonuçlandırılıyor?
- Manifold Markets bu piyasayı şu şekilde sonuçlandırır: Inspired by Scott: