Manifold MarketsKYC yokDoğrulanmış sonuçlanma verisiOrta düzey kalibreGüncel topluluk tahminiTrump continues in defiance of Congress (unspecified how) 100%8 seçenek arasında lider
Tahminciler
12
Soru türü
multiple choice
Yöntem
Play-money forecasting platform
Kaynak türü
Tahmin
7g Değişim
0.0 pts
Piyasa verileri
12 saat önce güncellendi
Guncelligini yitirmis25 Mar 26 12:40 UTC31 Ara 26 13:11 UTC
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İlgili Piyasalar
Bağlam için ilgili sorular; eşdeğer sözleşmelerin karşılaştırması değildir.
Will the US-Iran war end before the 2026 midterm elections?
Manifold MarketsWill the US and Iran be at war on January 1st, 2027?
Manifold MarketsWill there be a separate, second ceasefire in the America / Iran war in 2026?
Manifold MarketsUNSC Resolution Endorsing Final U.S.-Iran Deal by December 31?
PolymarketNothing Ever Happens: 2026
PolymarketDario Amodei arrested by December 31?
PolymarketKurallar
I'd be interested in what traders think the Executive would use as legal justification to extending the conflict if Congress is against it (assuming we get to that).
- I'm hoping some of you will suggest new options for that.
- All options that require the war to surpass the 60 days resolve NO if it doesn't.
- In theory, this resolves early May, giving us a few extra months in case of shenanigans.
- I will not trade in this market.
- Update 2026-05-04 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): The creator will wait ~30 days after the 60-day War Powers Resolution period ends before resolving, to account for ongoing uncertainty and potential restart of strikes.
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Sık sorulan sorular
- What happens to the USA-Iran war when the 60 days War Powers Resolution end? için güncel oranlar nedir?
- Manifold Markets, 9 Eylül 2026 itibarıyla Trump continues in defiance of Congress (unspecified how) için 100% fiyatlıyor.
- What happens to the USA-Iran war when the 60 days War Powers Resolution end? ne zaman sonuçlanacak?
- What happens to the USA-Iran war when the 60 days War Powers Resolution end? için öngörülen sonuçlanma tarihi 31 Aralık 2026.
- What happens to the USA-Iran war when the 60 days War Powers Resolution end? nasıl sonuçlandırılıyor?
- Manifold Markets bu piyasayı şu şekilde sonuçlandırır: I'd be interested in what traders think the Executive would use as legal justification to extending the conflict if Congress is against it (assuming we get to that).