Manifold MarketsKYC yokDoğrulanmış sonuçlanma verisiOrta düzey kalibreGüncel topluluk tahminiEvet 85.6%
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Guncelligini yitirmis22 Ara 25 09:28 UTC31 Ara 26 23:59 UTC
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İlgili Piyasalar
Bağlam için ilgili sorular; eşdeğer sözleşmelerin karşılaştırması değildir.
Which "The Economist" "World Ahead" predictions for 2026 will come true?
Manifold MarketsPredictions about Syria in 2026
Manifold Markets2026 political predictions (add your own)
Manifold MarketsNothing Ever Happens: 2026
PolymarketEuropean country agrees to give Ukraine security guarantee by which date?
PolymarketU.S. agrees to give Ukraine security guarantee by December 31?
PolymarketKurallar
Resolves YES if there is no report of these in the common media channels in 2026:
- Velina’s Foresight for 2026:
- 1) No hot war between US, China & Russia (sorry to all folks selling doom-and-gloom about WW3)
- 2) No military attack by China on Taiwan (further rise of tensions)
- 3) No nuclear exchange or direct conventional confrontation between Russia and Europe
- https://x.com/i/status/2002804420896039404
Açık piyasalar
GeopoliticsPOLYMARKETWhich party will gain most seats in Russian Parliamentary Election?
- United Russia (ER)+4.0pt74%
- New People (NL)-3.3pt22%
- Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR)-1.0pt3%
+5 daha fazla sonuç
- Toplam Hacim
- ₺1,3 Mr
- 24s Hacim
- ₺29,5 Mn
POLYMARKETUS announces end of Iranian blockade by which date?
- December 31-3.9pt47.8%
- October 31-3.0pt29.2%
- September 30-4.0pt12.4%
+17 daha fazla sonuç
POLYMARKETUS x Iran Effective Ceasefire begins by...? (2 week pause)
- September 30-5.0pt74%
- September 18-10.0pt67%
- September 11-2.5pt63%
+2 daha fazla sonuç
POLYMARKETKharg Island no longer under Iranian control by which date?
- December 317%
- September 30+0.3pt1%
- July 310%
+7 daha fazla sonuç
- Toplam Hacim
POLYMARKETIsrael x Iran ceasefire continues through which date?
- July 18+0.3pt100%
- July 20+0.1pt100%
- July 22+0.5pt100%
+20 daha fazla sonuç
POLYMARKETWill China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?
- No-0.1pt96%
- Yes+0.1pt4%
- Toplam Hacim
- ₺2 Mr
- 24s Hacim
- ₺5,3 Mn
- Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
- Nobel Peace Prize Winner 2026
- US-Iran nuclear deal?
- Russia x Ukraine peace talks by which date?
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?
- Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by which date?
- Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by which date?
- Iran full airspace closure by which date?
- Will the Iranian regime fall by September 30?
- Iran-Oman Hormuz Management Agreement by which date?
Sık sorulan sorular
- Velina Tchakarova's three NO WAR predictions for 2026 için güncel oranlar nedir?
- Manifold Markets, 8 Eylül 2026 itibarıyla Yes için 86% fiyatlıyor.
- Velina Tchakarova's three NO WAR predictions for 2026 ne zaman sonuçlanacak?
- Velina Tchakarova's three NO WAR predictions for 2026 için öngörülen sonuçlanma tarihi 31 Aralık 2026.
- Velina Tchakarova's three NO WAR predictions for 2026 nasıl sonuçlandırılıyor?
- Manifold Markets bu piyasayı şu şekilde sonuçlandırır: Resolves YES if there is no report of these in the common media channels in 2026: