Manifold MarketsKYC yokDoğrulanmış sonuçlanma verisiOrta düzey kalibreVeri kalitesi uyarısıKaynak verileri bozulmuş
26 Eki 2026 09:52 UTC itibarıyla veriler · politika pm-quality-4
Güncel topluluk tahminiHayır 76.8%
Tahminciler
36
Soru türü
binary
Yöntem
Play-money forecasting platform
Kaynak türü
Tahmin
Piyasa verileri
43 dakika önce güncellendi
25 Mar 26 20:04 UTC25 Mar 27 19:48 UTC
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İlgili Piyasalar
Bağlam için ilgili sorular; eşdeğer sözleşmelerin karşılaştırması değildir.
Trump impeached before Iran war's end?
Manifold MarketsWill the US and Iran be at war on January 1st, 2027?
Manifold MarketsWill the US and Iran be at war on January 1st, 2027?
Manifold MarketsWill there be a separate, second ceasefire in the America / Iran war in 2026?
Manifold MarketsWill Trump be impeached?
KalshiWill Trump be impeached by which date?
PolymarketKurallar
Resolution criteria
- This market resolves YES if Trump is impeached by the House of Representatives before the Iran war ends.
- The Iran war is defined as the conflict that began on February 28, 2026, when the United States and Israel launched surprise airstrikes on multiple sites across Iran.
- The war ends when a ceasefire agreement is formally signed and takes effect, or when major combat operations cease for 14 days
- Resolution will be determined by:
- Impeachment: Official House vote to impeach Trump on any charges