Will the US and Iran be at war on January 1st, 2027?
PolitikaOne-OffUS PoliticsJeopolitikMiddle East3ayManifold MarketsKYC yokDoğrulanmış sonuçlanma verisiOrta düzey kalibreGüncel topluluk tahminiEvet 53%
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Play-money forecasting platform
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16 saat önce güncellendi
Guncelligini yitirmis1 Ağu 26 16:23 UTC1 Oca 27 23:59 UTC
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İlgili Piyasalar
Bağlam için ilgili sorular; eşdeğer sözleşmelerin karşılaştırması değildir.
Will the US and Iran be at war on January 1st, 2027?
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PolymarketKurallar
Resolution criteria
- The US and Iran will be considered at war if military hostilities between the two nations are actively occurring on January 1st, 2027.
- This includes direct combat operations, sustained military strikes, or active armed conflict.
- Iran's retaliatory ballistic missile attacks on US military bases and Israel following the February 28, 2026 US and Israeli military strikes on Iran constitute evidence of active warfare.
- The market resolves YES if military operations continue through January 1st, 2027.
- The market resolves NO if a ceasefire, peace agreement, or cessation of hostilities has been established before that date, or if no active military conflict exists on that date.
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Sık sorulan sorular
- Will the US and Iran be at war on January 1st, 2027? için güncel oranlar nedir?
- Manifold Markets, 8 Eylül 2026 itibarıyla Yes için 53% fiyatlıyor.
- Will the US and Iran be at war on January 1st, 2027? ne zaman sonuçlanacak?
- Will the US and Iran be at war on January 1st, 2027? için öngörülen sonuçlanma tarihi 1 Ocak 2027.
- Will the US and Iran be at war on January 1st, 2027? nasıl sonuçlandırılıyor?
- Manifold Markets bu piyasayı şu şekilde sonuçlandırır: Resolution criteria