Manifold MarketsKYC yokDoğrulanmış sonuçlanma verisiOrta düzey kalibreGüncel topluluk tahminiEvet 99%
Tahminciler
35
Soru türü
binary
Yöntem
Play-money forecasting platform
Kaynak türü
Tahmin
Piyasa verileri
18 saat önce güncellendi
Guncelligini yitirmis1 Eki 22 15:22 UTC2 Oca 29 04:59 UTC
Trendler
İlgili Piyasalar
Bağlam için ilgili sorular; eşdeğer sözleşmelerin karşılaştırması değildir.
This question will resolve positively on the 1st of January, 2027
Manifold MarketsThis question will resolve positively on the 1st of January, 2030
Manifold MarketsThis question will resolve positively on the 1st of January, 2028
Manifold MarketsWhich firearm will receive the most votes in Idaho's State Gun advisory question?
KalshiElon Musk # tweets September 10 - September 12, 2026?
PolymarketWill California recognize Jewish identity as an ethnicity?
KalshiKurallar
This market resolves positively on the 1st of January, 2029.
- This question is meant to find out whether Manifold users are incentivized to correctly predict on longer-term markets, and, to some extent, what the implied discount rate is.
- Note that with Manifold's lending functionality, the half-life of the cost to invest here is about a month
- Close date updated to 2029-01-01 11:59 pm
Açık piyasalar
Society & CultureKALSHIWhat will the reporters say during ABC World News Tonight?
- Iran (3+ times)99%
- Renoir99%
- Pardon99%
+13 daha fazla sonuç
- Toplam Hacim
- ₺4,2 Mn
- 24s Hacim
- ₺4,2 Mn
POLYMARKETElon Musk # tweets September 10 - September 12, 2026?
- 40-64-1.5pt45%
- 65-89+3.0pt28%
- <40-5.0pt15%
+7 daha fazla sonuç
KALSHIWill California recognize Jewish identity as an ethnicity?
- No96%
- Yes-76.0pt4%
- Toplam Hacim
- ₺474,8 B
- 24s Hacim
- ₺418,6 B
KALSHIWill Yellowstone record over 5 million recreation visits in 2026?
- No95%
- Yes-6.0pt5%
- Toplam Hacim
- ₺865,2 B
- 24s Hacim
- ₺53,7 B
FORECASTEXWill Massachusetts Institute of Technology rank first overall in 2027?
- No82%
- Yes18%
- Toplam Hacim
- ₺29,1 B
- 24s Hacim
- ₺29,1 B
FORECASTEXWill Princeton University rank first overall in 2027?
- Yes85%
- No15%
- Toplam Hacim
- ₺29,1 B
- 24s Hacim
- ₺29,1 B
- US test scores in Math in 2026?
- Harry Kane Knighted in 2026
- Poilievre out as leader of Conservatives by December 31, 2026?
- US test scores in Reading in 2026?
- Will Clavicular wear a Yarmulke in 2026?
- Will California start laying high-speed rail track in 2026?
- Is Earth flat?
- Major news story in Sep 2026?
- Idaho passes ballot measure legalizing abortion?
- Will MrBeast donate to East Carolina University athletics NIL programs this year?
- Who will be in the US News top 20 universities?
Sık sorulan sorular
- This question will resolve positively on the 1st of January, 2029 için güncel oranlar nedir?
- Manifold Markets, 8 Eylül 2026 itibarıyla Yes için 99% fiyatlıyor.
- This question will resolve positively on the 1st of January, 2029 ne zaman sonuçlanacak?
- This question will resolve positively on the 1st of January, 2029 için öngörülen sonuçlanma tarihi 2 Ocak 2029.
- This question will resolve positively on the 1st of January, 2029 nasıl sonuçlandırılıyor?
- Manifold Markets bu piyasayı şu şekilde sonuçlandırır: This market resolves positively on the 1st of January, 2029.