This question will resolve positively on the 1st of January, 2027
One-OffTeknolojiİş Dünyası ve Şirketler2ayManifold MarketsKYC yokDoğrulanmış sonuçlanma verisiOrta düzey kalibreGüncel topluluk tahminiEvet 99.3%
Tahminciler
99
Soru türü
binary
Yöntem
Play-money forecasting platform
Kaynak türü
Tahmin
Piyasa verileri
5 saat önce güncellendi
Guncelligini yitirmis8 Nis 22 16:05 UTC2 Oca 27 04:59 UTC
Trendler
İlgili Piyasalar
Bağlam için ilgili sorular; eşdeğer sözleşmelerin karşılaştırması değildir.
This question will resolve positively on the 1st of January, 2030
Manifold MarketsThis question will resolve positively on the 1st of January, 2029
Manifold MarketsThis question will resolve positively on the 1st of January, 2028
Manifold MarketsWill GiveWell fund HPV vaccination to prevent cervical cancer by 1st January 2027?
Manifold MarketsWill Anthropic’s valuation hit __ by December 31?
PolymarketLargest IPO by market cap in 2026?
PolymarketKurallar
This market resolves positively on the 1st of January, 2027.
- This question is meant to find out whether Manifold users are incentivized to correctly predict on longer-term markets, and, to some extent, what the implied discount rate is.
- Note that with Manifold's lending functionality, you can bet the first M$20 for free.
