Manifold MarketsKYC yokDoğrulanmış sonuçlanma verisiOrta düzey kalibreGüncel topluluk tahminiEvet 99%
Tahminciler
33
Soru türü
binary
Yöntem
Play-money forecasting platform
Kaynak türü
Tahmin
Piyasa verileri
10 saat önce güncellendi
Guncelligini yitirmis1 Eki 22 06:06 UTC2 Oca 28 04:59 UTC
Trendler
İlgili Piyasalar
Bağlam için ilgili sorular; eşdeğer sözleşmelerin karşılaştırması değildir.
This question will resolve positively on the 1st of January, 2027
Manifold MarketsThis question will resolve positively on the 1st of January, 2030
Manifold MarketsThis question will resolve positively on the 1st of January, 2029
Manifold MarketsUEFA Champions League: 2027 Champion
PolymarketBallon d'Or Winner 2026
PolymarketThis question will resolve NO on January 1, 2050 (risk free interest rate question)
Manifold MarketsKurallar
This market resolves positively on the 1st of January, 2028.
- This question is meant to find out whether Manifold users are incentivized to correctly predict on longer-term markets, and, to some extent, what the implied discount rate is.
- Note that with Manifold's lending functionality, the half-life of the cost to invest here is about a month
Açık piyasalar
SoccerPOLYMARKETUEFA Champions League: 2027 Champion
- Barcelona18.1%
- Arsenal15.2%
- Paris Saint-Germain13.3%
+33 daha fazla sonuç
- Toplam Hacim
- ₺1,4 Mr
- 24s Hacim
- ₺138,3 Mn
KALSHIReal Madrid vs Inter
- Real Madrid-1.0pt58.8%
- Tie+1.0pt21.6%
- Inter+1.0pt19.6%
- Toplam Hacim
- ₺142,2 Mn
ROBINHOOD (ROTHERA)MLB: Arizona Diamondbacks vs Kansas City Royals (Sep 7, 2026)
- ARI+28.0pt79.8%
- KC-31.0pt20.2%
- Toplam Hacim
- ₺58,8 Mn
- 24s Hacim
- ₺58,8 Mn
KALSHIDortmund vs Villarreal
- Dortmund+3.0pt59%
- Tie23%
- Villarreal-5.0pt18%
- Toplam Hacim
- ₺61,5 Mn
- 24s Hacim
KALSHIPorto vs Manchester City
- Manchester City+5.0pt61.4%
- Tie-1.0pt22.8%
- Porto-4.0pt15.8%
- Toplam Hacim
- ₺56,5 Mn
POLYMARKETBallon d'Or Winner 2026
- Harry Kane-0.6pt61.2%
- Lamine Yamal-0.3pt13.6%
- Kylian Mbappé+4.1pt11.7%
+28 daha fazla sonuç
- Lille vs Real Betis
- Real Madrid vs Inter: Total Goals
- Dortmund vs Villarreal: Total Goals
- Who will win the Ballon d'Or in 2026?
- Zamalek vs Abo Qair Semads
- Champions League Winner
- Smouha vs Ceramica Cleopatra
- Porto vs Manchester City: Total Goals
- Real Madrid vs Inter: Spread
- FC Barcelona vs. Feyenoord Rotterdam
- Republic of Korea vs Germany
- Arizona vs Kansas City
Sık sorulan sorular
- This question will resolve positively on the 1st of January, 2028 için güncel oranlar nedir?
- Manifold Markets, 8 Eylül 2026 itibarıyla Yes için 99% fiyatlıyor.
- This question will resolve positively on the 1st of January, 2028 ne zaman sonuçlanacak?
- This question will resolve positively on the 1st of January, 2028 için öngörülen sonuçlanma tarihi 2 Ocak 2028.
- This question will resolve positively on the 1st of January, 2028 nasıl sonuçlandırılıyor?
- Manifold Markets bu piyasayı şu şekilde sonuçlandırır: This market resolves positively on the 1st of January, 2028.